Skip to main content

Match analysis

ItalySerie B

Spezia vs Bari

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie B fixture.

Full time1:1HT 1–1

Match Timeline

7'
C. Gytkjaer⚽
Normal Goal → M. Verreth
36'
Rachid Kouda🟨
Yellow Card
36'
R. Kouda⚽
Normal Goal → V. Vlahovic
42'
Rachid Kouda🟨
Yellow Card
42'
Rachid Kouda🟥
Red Card
47'
Dimitrios Nikolaou🟨
Yellow Card
63'
G. Maggiore🔄
Substitution 1 → G. Castrovilli
63'
C. Gytkjaer🔄
Substitution 2 → L. Cerri
64'
L. Vignali🔄
Substitution 1 → A. Candela
74'
M. Antonucci🔄
Substitution 3 → M. Braunoder
74'
M. Dorval🔄
Substitution 4 → E. Rao
79'
Raffaele Pucino🟨
Yellow Card
80'
V. Vlahovic🔄
Substitution 2 → G. Artistico
80'
G. Di Serio🔄
Substitution 3 → E. Soleri
81'
M. Verreth🔄
Substitution 5 → A. Partipilo
90'
Antonio Candela🟨
Yellow Card
90+3'
G. Aurelio🔄
Substitution 4 → P. Beruatto
90+8'
Francesco Cassata🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal1
2Shots off Goal9
10Total Shots19
3Blocked Shots9
8Shots insidebox10
2Shots outsidebox9
15Fouls11
4Corner Kicks12
1Offsides3
37Ball Possession63
4Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
0Goalkeeper Saves4
312Total passes515
226Passes accurate448
72Passes %87

Tipster previews (6)

Mr SimpleLost

Bottom Boys Battle - Goals Galore Expected?

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
58%
Odds
2.15
Model EV
+24.7%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this bottom-of-the-table scrap between Spezia and Bari. Both sides are struggling for points this season, but don't let that fool you - this could be an absolute cracker! Spezia are propping up the table with just 7 points from 11 games…

Umery UnderdogLost

Bari: The Underdog With Hidden Value

The pickBari win

Chance
28%
Odds
4.10
Model EV
+14.8%

Oh, what a delightful little matchup we have here! The odds makers have got it all wrong again, and that's where we underdog lovers find our treasure! 🐾 Look at the situation - Spezia sitting rock bottom of Serie B with just 7 points from 11 games, yet they're somehow the…

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceWon

Battle of the Struggling Forces

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
65%
Odds
1.67
Model EV
+8.6%

In the depths of Serie B, two teams find themselves adrift in the currents of struggle. Spezia, anchored at 19th with but 7 points from 11 journeys, seeks redemption upon their home shores. Bari, floating at 14th with 12 points, arrives with hopes of turning their away fortunes…

PajimonWon

Bottom of the Table Clash: Low-Scoring Affair Expected

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
63%
Odds
1.67
Model EV
+5.2%

Ag man, this is like watching two bokkies fight over a last piece of wors! Spezia sitting 19th with only 7 points from 11 games - that's worse than my fantasy football team after a weekend of boerie rolls and beer! They've managed just ONE win in their last 10 games, and that…

Value VinnyWon

Statistical Value Found in Low-Scoring Affair

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
62%
Odds
1.67
Model EV
+3.5%

Let's cut through the noise and look at the cold, hard numbers. Spezia sits rock bottom of Serie B with just 7 points from 11 games, while Bari aren't much better off in 14th with 12 points. Both sides are struggling, but the betting market appears to have mispriced this…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Spezia

1W 4D 5L0.70 pts/game

Bari

3W 3D 4L1.20 pts/game

Per game

Spezia at home vs Bari away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie B

Overall edge
+8Spezia
Venue edge
+105Spezia
Rating period
Match snapshot
Spezia versus Bari: long term Elo, before the match
SpeziaHomeRatingBariAway
Strength
1,509Overall1,500
1,527Match venue1,422
1,527At home1,587
1,529Away1,422
Attack & defence
1,477Attack1,431
1,573Defence1,540
1,489Home attack1,458
1,449Away attack1,414
1,551Home defence1,614
1,609Away defence1,490
Match profile
1,307Goal environment1,332
1,442Home goals1,398
1,365Away goals1,433
1,491Possession1,494
Specialist ratings
1,496Set-piece attack1,478
1,496Set-piece defence1,479
1,485Close games1,539
1,519Winning margin1,487

Match venue compares Spezia at home with Bari away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

SpeziaSpezia1:1

Starting XI

12Diego MascardiG
6Fellipe JackD
31Giuseppe AurelioM
99Vanja VlahovićF
2Przemysław WiśniewskiD
80Rachid KoudaM
20Giuseppe Di SerioF
37Aleš MatějůD
8Ádám NagyM
29Francesco CassataM
32Luca VignaliM

BariBari1:1

Starting XI

31Michele CerofoliniG
43Dimitrios NikolaouD
93Mehdi DorvalM
16Mirko AntonucciF
9Christian GytkjærF
13Andrea MeroniD
29Matthias VerrethM
11Gabriele MonciniF
25Raffaele PucinoD
18Giulio MaggioreM
24Lorenzo DickmannM