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Match analysis

ItalySerie B

Mantova vs Reggiana

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie B fixture.

Full time0:1HT 0–0

Match Timeline

11'
Cedric Gondo⚽
Goal cancelled
25'
Andrea Bozzolan🟨
Yellow Card
40'
Stefano Cella🟨
Yellow Card
46'
N. Girma🔄
Substitution 1 → E. Tavsan
53'
T. Reinhart⚽
Normal Goal → M. Marras
57'
D. Wieser🔄
Substitution 1 → F. Paoletti
57'
F. Galuppini🔄
Substitution 2 → T. Marras
60'
Tobías Reinhart🟨
Yellow Card
61'
M. Marras🔄
Substitution 2 → L. Libutti
70'
F. Artioli🔄
Substitution 3 → C. Falletti
71'
F. Ruocco🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Caprini
75'
Nicholas Bonfanti🟨
Yellow Card
76'
N. Bonfanti🔄
Substitution 5 → D. Mensah
76'
C. Gondo🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Novakovich
82'
A. Bozzolan🔄
Substitution 4 → S. Bonetti
82'
T. Reinhart🔄
Substitution 5 → M. Bertagnoli
83'
Simone Bonetti🟨
Yellow Card
89'
Charlys🟥
Red Card
89'
Charlys
Card upgrade

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal3
2Shots off Goal4
18Total Shots8
10Blocked Shots1
10Shots insidebox6
8Shots outsidebox2
12Fouls18
10Corner Kicks3
1Offsides0
76Ball Possession24
2Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
2Goalkeeper Saves6
678Total passes211
619Passes accurate167
91Passes %79

Tipster previews (6)

Umery UnderdogWon

Underdog Value Alert: Reggiana Ready to Bite

The pickReggiana win

Chance
30%
Odds
3.75
Model EV
+12.5%

Oh, what a delightful opportunity we have here! The market has got it all wrong, my friends. While everyone's looking at Mantova playing at home, I'm seeing the real value in our plucky underdog Reggiana at 3.75 odds! Let's look beyond the surface, shall we? Mantova might be…

PajimonLost

BTTS Value in Bottom-Half Battle

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
67%
Odds
1.75
Model EV
+17.3%

Alright boets, let's fire up the braai and look at this Serie B clash between two teams who love conceding almost as much as I love a cold beer after a long day! Mantova sits 16th with 14 points while Reggiana is 11th with 17, but the table doesn't tell the whole story here…

The Big "O"Lost

Goal Fest Expected When Mantova Hosts Reggiana

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
55%
Odds
1.95
Model EV
+7.2%

Alright folks, The Big O here, and I'm getting excited about this Serie B showdown! When I see the numbers for Mantova vs Reggiana, my Over-senses start tingling like crazy. Let's break down why this could be a goal bonanza. First, look at Mantova at home - they're averaging…

Mr SimpleLost

Mantova vs Reggiana: Goals Galore on the Cards?

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
58%
Odds
1.95
Model EV
+13.1%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Serie B scrap between Mantova and Reggiana. Both sides are knocking around the bottom half of the table, and frankly, neither has been pulling up any trees lately. Mantova are sitting 16th with just 14 points from 14 games - not…

Value VinnyLost

Mathematical Value Found in Goals Market

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
62%
Odds
1.95
Model EV
+20.9%

Let's cut through the noise and focus on what matters: the numbers. The market has got this one wrong, and that's where I find my edge. Looking at the league table, you'll see just three points separating these sides - Mantova in 16th on 14 points, Reggiana in 11th on 17. But…

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceLost

Battle Of The Bottom Half: Goals Await

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
60%
Odds
1.75
Model EV
+5.0%

In the grand tapestry of Serie B, two souls dance near the bottom, seeking redemption. Mantova, 16th in the standings, welcomes Reggiana, 11th, to their home ground. Three points separate them, yet the force between them tells a deeper story. Mantova's recent form reveals a team…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Mantova

3W 2D 5L1.10 pts/game

Reggiana

3W 3D 4L1.20 pts/game

Per game

Mantova at home vs Reggiana away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie B

Overall edge
+30Reggiana
Venue edge
+69Mantova
Rating period
Match snapshot
Mantova versus Reggiana: long term Elo, before the match
MantovaHomeRatingReggianaAway
Strength
1,462Overall1,492
1,525Match venue1,455
1,525At home1,500
1,424Away1,455
Attack & defence
1,451Attack1,469
1,492Defence1,524
1,500Home attack1,452
1,440Away attack1,457
1,509Home defence1,540
1,474Away defence1,500
Match profile
1,527Goal environment1,430
1,510Home goals1,447
1,517Away goals1,483
1,529Possession1,489
Specialist ratings
1,489Set-piece attack1,465
1,489Set-piece defence1,466
1,505Close games1,497
1,460Winning margin1,492

Match venue compares Mantova at home with Reggiana away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

MantovaMantova1:1

Starting XI

1M. FestaG
96T. MaggioniD
21S. TrimboliM
19F. RuoccoF
29S. CellaD
8F. ArtioliM
99N. BonfantiF
27A. CastelliniD
10D. WieserM
14F. GaluppiniF
20G. FedelD

ReggianaReggiana1:1

Starting XI

1E. MottaG
14D. QuarantaD
3A. BozzolanM
90M. PortanovaF
11C. GondoF
96G. MagnaniD
16T. ReinhartM
80N. GirmaF
2A. PapettiD
8CharlysM
7M. MarrasM