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Match analysis

ItalySerie B

Empoli vs Palermo

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie B fixture.

Full time1:3HT 0–2

Match Timeline

7'
J. Le Douaron⚽
Normal Goal → A. Palumbo
14'
Jacopo Segre🟨
Yellow Card
18'
J. Pohjanpalo⚽
Normal Goal → P. Ceccaroni
33'
Bartosz Bereszyński🟨
Yellow Card
46'
M. Nasti🔄
Substitution 1 → P. Pellegri
46'
B. Bereszynski🔄
Substitution 1 → P. Peda
55'
J. Le Douaron🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Vasic
56'
J. Segre🔄
Substitution 3 → C. Gomes
61'
Pietro Pellegri🟨
Yellow Card
63'
P. Pellegri⚽
Normal Goal
70'
A. Palumbo🔄
Substitution 4 → A. Blin
73'
A. Ghion🔄
Substitution 2 → D. Degli Innocenti
73'
J. Ceesay🔄
Substitution 3 → E. Saporiti
74'
J. Pohjanpalo⚽
Normal Goal
82'
S. Shpendi🔄
Substitution 4 → F. Carboni
82'
S. Elia🔄
Substitution 5 → F. Bianchi
88'
T. Augello🔄
Substitution 5 → D. Veroli
90'
Brando Moruzzi🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal10
18Total Shots15
8Blocked Shots2
14Shots insidebox14
4Shots outsidebox1
14Fouls12
7Corner Kicks5
3Offsides1
53Ball Possession47
2Yellow Cards2
0Goalkeeper Saves6
455Total passes409
370Passes accurate319
81Passes %78

Tipster previews (5)

Mr SimpleLost

Empoli vs Palermo: Tight Battle Expected

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
60%
Odds
1.75
Model EV
+5.0%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Serie B scrap between Empoli and Palermo. The bookies have got Palermo as favorites at 2.30, which is a bit of a head-scratcher when you dig into the numbers. Empoli are sitting pretty at home, unbeaten in their last six on their own…

PajimonLost

Empoli to Overcome Odds Against Palermo

The pickEmpoli win

Chance
46%
Odds
3.10
Model EV
+42.6%

Alright folks, let's talk about this Serie B clash between Empoli and Palermo. Looking at the table, you might think Palermo has the edge sitting 6th with 23 points, but the numbers tell a different story! Empoli's been cooking at home lately - unbeaten in their last 6 home…

Mr CertaintyLost

Empoli vs Palermo: Low-Scoring Affair Expected

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
70%
Odds
1.75
Model EV
+22.5%

This Serie B clash between Empoli and Palermo presents a fascinating tactical battle between two teams sitting just three points apart in the table. Empoli currently occupies 7th position with 20 points, while Palermo sits in 6th with 23 points, making this a crucial encounter…

Value VinnyLost

Empoli vs Palermo: Value Found in Home Advantage

The pickEmpoli win

Chance
37%
Odds
3.10
Model EV
+14.7%

The numbers don't lie, and they're screaming value here. Palermo sits 6th in the table, but the market has got this fixture completely wrong. Let me break down why Empoli at 3.10 represents exceptional betting value. Empoli's recent form tells a compelling story. They've been…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Empoli

4W 4D 2L1.60 pts/game

Palermo

3W 4D 3L1.30 pts/game

Per game

Empoli at home vs Palermo away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie B

Overall edge
+48Empoli
Venue edge
+127Empoli
Rating period
Match snapshot
Empoli versus Palermo: long term Elo, before the match
EmpoliHomeRatingPalermoAway
Strength
1,593Overall1,545
1,627Match venue1,501
1,627At home1,561
1,540Away1,501
Attack & defence
1,538Attack1,501
1,576Defence1,587
1,569Home attack1,513
1,495Away attack1,500
1,590Home defence1,585
1,544Away defence1,544
Match profile
1,632Goal environment1,523
1,585Home goals1,490
1,547Away goals1,533
1,491Possession1,501
Specialist ratings
1,473Set-piece attack1,511
1,474Set-piece defence1,511
1,558Close games1,446
1,602Winning margin1,572

Match venue compares Empoli at home with Palermo away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

EmpoliEmpoli1:1

Starting XI

21A. FulignatiG
5N. ObaretinD
27B. MoruzziM
15J. CeesayF
19M. NastiF
34G. GuarinoD
14G. YepesM
11S. ShpendiF
20M. LovatoD
18A. GhionM
7S. EliaM

PalermoPalermo1:1

Starting XI

66J. JoronenG
32P. CeccaroniD
3T. AugelloM
21J. Le DouaronF
20J. PohjanpaloF
13M. BaniD
10F. RanocchiaM
5A. PalumboF
19B. BereszynskiD
8J. SegreM
27N. PierozziM