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Match analysis

ItalySerie B

Empoli vs Sudtirol

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie B fixture.

Full time0:1HT 0–1

Match Timeline

19'
Karim Zedadka🟨
Yellow Card
24'
E. Pecorino⚽
Normal Goal → D. Casiraghi
45'
Silvio Merkaj🟨
Yellow Card
46'
Fabian Tait🟨
Yellow Card
59'
J. Ceesay🔄
Substitution 1 → S. Shpendi
59'
N. Haas🔄
Substitution 2 → L. Ignacchiti
63'
F. Tait🔄
Substitution 1 → M. R. Frigerio
63'
D. Casiraghi🔄
Substitution 2 → D. Crnigoj
64'
E. Pecorino🔄
Substitution 3 → R. Odogwu
68'
S. Merkaj🔄
Substitution 4 → S. Verdi
72'
A. Ghion🔄
Substitution 3 → D. Degli Innocenti
72'
S. Elia🔄
Substitution 4 → T. Ebuehi
74'
K. Zedadka🔄
Substitution 5 → S. Davi
80'
R. Ilie🔄
Substitution 5 → B. Popov
81'
Simone Verdi🟨
Yellow Card
86'
Simone Tronchin🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal1
9Total Shots6
1Blocked Shots3
6Shots insidebox4
3Shots outsidebox2
15Fouls22
8Corner Kicks4
0Offsides5
68Ball Possession32
0Yellow Cards5
1Goalkeeper Saves3
461Total passes211
359Passes accurate124
78Passes %59

Tipster previews (6)

Mr SimpleLost

Empoli to Edge Past Stubborn Sudtirol at Home?

The pickEmpoli win

Chance
52%
Odds
2.25
Model EV
+17.0%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Serie B clash. Empoli, sitting pretty in 8th, welcome Sudtirol who are down in 14th and looking over their shoulder. On paper, it's a home banker, but football's never that simple, is it? Let's crack open the numbers and see where the…

Value VinnyWon

Empoli vs Sudtirol: The Under Value Lock

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
70%
Odds
1.65
Model EV
+15.5%

The maths doesn't lie, and my calculator is smoking. Empoli host Sudtirol in a Serie B clash that screams value for the disciplined punter. Let's cut through the noise and look at the numbers. Empoli sit comfortably in 8th, boasting a solid 50% win rate over their last ten games…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Empoli

5W 2D 3L1.70 pts/game

Sudtirol

1W 6D 3L0.90 pts/game

Per game

Empoli at home vs Sudtirol away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie B

Overall edge
+103Empoli
Venue edge
+129Empoli
Rating period
Match snapshot
Empoli versus Sudtirol: long term Elo, before the match
EmpoliHomeRatingSudtirolAway
Strength
1,586Overall1,482
1,610Match venue1,481
1,610At home1,495
1,555Away1,481
Attack & defence
1,509Attack1,434
1,574Defence1,545
1,560Home attack1,447
1,479Away attack1,444
1,573Home defence1,547
1,562Away defence1,535
Match profile
1,623Goal environment1,410
1,588Home goals1,453
1,535Away goals1,457
1,487Possession1,465
Specialist ratings
1,474Set-piece attack1,505
1,475Set-piece defence1,505
1,585Close games1,479
1,584Winning margin1,483

Match venue compares Empoli at home with Sudtirol away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

EmpoliEmpoli1:1

Starting XI

21A. FulignatiG
5N. ObaretinD
27B. MoruzziM
15J. CeesayF
19M. NastiF
34G. GuarinoD
32N. HaasM
10R. IlieF
20M. LovatoD
18A. GhionM
7S. EliaM

SudtirolSudtirol1:1

Starting XI

31M. AdamonisG
34F. VeseliD
7K. ZedadkaM
9E. PecorinoF
28R. KoflerD
17D. CasiraghiM
33S. MerkajF
94H. El KaouakibiD
18S. TronchinM
21F. TaitM
79S. MolinaM