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Match analysis

ItalySerie B

Catanzaro vs Modena

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie B fixture.

Full time2:2HT 2–1

Match Timeline

5'
F. Pittarello⚽
Normal Goal
7'
Filippo Pittarello⚽
Goal confirmed
27'
Tommaso Cassandro🟨
Yellow Card
28'
D. Adorni⚽
Normal Goal → M. Cotali
34'
Simone Pontisso🟨
Yellow Card
40'
F. Rispoli⚽
Normal Goal → M. Liberali
46'
Fabio Gerli🟨
Yellow Card
46'
D. Adorni🔄
Substitution 1 → D. Tonoli
55'
P. Iemmello🔄
Substitution 1 → F. Di Francesco
63'
S. Santoro🔄
Substitution 2 → N. Pyyhtia
63'
M. Cotali🔄
Substitution 3 → L. Zanimacchia
71'
G. Ambrosino🔄
Substitution 4 → P. Mendes
74'
M. Liberali🔄
Substitution 2 → M. Pompetti
74'
C. Favasuli🔄
Substitution 3 → R. Frosinini
78'
F. Gerli🔄
Substitution 5 → S. Wiafe
84'
Fellipe Jack🔄
Substitution 4 → B. Verrengia
85'
S. Pontisso🔄
Substitution 5 → D. Buglio
90'
P. Mendes⚽
Normal Goal

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal3
3Shots off Goal5
8Total Shots8
1Blocked Shots0
4Shots insidebox6
4Shots outsidebox2
9Fouls16
5Corner Kicks5
3Offsides1
55Ball Possession45
2Yellow Cards1
1Goalkeeper Saves3
395Total passes308
344Passes accurate250
87Passes %81
1.18expected_goals1.26
0goals_prevented0

Tipster preview

The Big "O"Won

Catanzaro vs Modena: The Big O Preview

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
60%
Odds
1.85
Model EV
+11.0%

Welcome to the Big O show! Life’s too short for nil-nil, and this Serie B clash between Catanzaro and Modena screams for action. When I look at the head-to-head record, the signal is deafening: in the last 6 meetings, every single match went Over 2.5 Goals. That’s a 100% strike…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Catanzaro

5W 4D 1L1.90 pts/game

Modena

5W 2D 3L1.70 pts/game

Per game

Catanzaro at home vs Modena away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie B

Overall edge
+60Catanzaro
Venue edge
+73Catanzaro
Rating period
Match snapshot
Catanzaro versus Modena: long term Elo, before the match
CatanzaroHomeRatingModenaAway
Strength
1,580Overall1,520
1,582Match venue1,509
1,582At home1,511
1,529Away1,509
Attack & defence
1,554Attack1,488
1,523Defence1,578
1,543Home attack1,490
1,519Away attack1,474
1,542Home defence1,569
1,515Away defence1,557
Match profile
1,582Goal environment1,468
1,567Home goals1,463
1,515Away goals1,505
1,509Possession1,501
Specialist ratings
1,459Set-piece attack1,549
1,460Set-piece defence1,548
1,558Close games1,458
1,584Winning margin1,540

Match venue compares Catanzaro at home with Modena away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

CatanzaroCatanzaro1:1

Starting XI

22M. PigliacelliG
6Fellipe JackD
30G. AlesiM
9P. IemmelloF
8F. PittarelloF
4Matias AntoniniD
20S. PontissoM
14M. LiberaliF
84T. CassandroD
32F. RispoliM
27C. FavasuliM

ModenaModena1:1

Starting XI

22M. PezzolatoG
20B. Nieling2:1
29M. CotaliM
99M. De LucaF
28D. AdorniD
8S. SantoroM
10G. AmbrosinoF
25A. DellavalleD
16F. GerliM
17Y. MassolinM
7F. ZampanoM