Mon, 23 Mar 2026, 19:30
Full Time

Match Timeline

17'
Unknown Player
Goal Disallowed - video review
38'
S. Longo
Normal Goal
45+2'
M. Della Morte
Normal Goal
59'
J. Greco🔄
Substitution 1 → R. Calcagni
59'
S. Oyewale🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Angileri
66'
G. Mignani🔄
Substitution 1 → J. Manconi
68'
S. Longo
Normal Goal
74'
C. Kouan🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Prisco
74'
E. Pierozzi🔄
Substitution 3 → R. Romano
77'
A. Ceresoli🔄
Substitution 4 → R. Celia
77'
M. Della Morte🔄
Substitution 5 → L. Carfora
81'
S. Longo🔄
Substitution 3 → E. Scipioni
81'
D. Ronco🔄
Substitution 4 → E. Antoni
86'
C. Manzi🟨
Yellow Card
86'
S. Scognamillo🟨
Yellow Card

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

SS Monopoli
SS Monopoli
Form: L-W-L-D-W
Benevento
Benevento
Form: W-W-W-W-W
Record
4 W
2 D
4 L
9 W
1 D
0 L
Goals Per Game
0.7
Scored
vs
2.2
Scored
0.9
Conceded
vs
0.8
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
40%
Clean Sheets
50%
BTTS
30%
BTTS
50%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.3
Away:0.3
Conceded
Home:0.5
Away:1.2
Scored
Home:1.6
Away:2.8
Conceded
Home:0.8
Away:0.8

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1565
Average
1671
Good
Short Term Elo Rating
1586
↑ Momentum (+21)
1748
↑ Momentum (+77)
Expected Outcome
25%
Home Win
29%
Draw
46%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1470
Attack
1576
1603
Defence
1658
Recent Form
1454
Attack
1608
1596
Defence
1684
Post-Match Changes
+14
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

SS Monopoli vs Benevento: Serie C Betting Preview
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:1.85
Expected Value:+20.3%
Confidence:65

Listen up, mates. What do you mean no meat? When you walk into a betting shop, you want the main course, not the sides. Today's fixture is SS Monopoli hosting Benevento in Serie C - Girone C. The standings tell a brutal story. Benevento are sitting pretty at the top of the table with 76 points from 32 games. Monopoli are way back in 8th place with just 47 points. That's a 29-point gap. In the kitchen of football, that's a massive difference in quality. Benevento are on a proper tear. In their last 10 games, they've won 9 and drawn 1. They haven't lost a single match. Their away form is even more scary: 100% win rate in their last 5 away games. They average 2.80 goals per game when playing on the road. That's serious firepower. Monopoli, on the other hand, are struggling to find consistency. Their last 10 games show 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses. They average 0.70 goals scored per game overall, though they do average 1.25 goals at home. But can they handle the pressure of the league leaders coming to town? Head-to-head history might give you pause. Monopoli has won 3 of the last 5 meetings. However, the most recent encounter ended 3-1 to Benevento back in November 2025. Trends show Benevento's goals scored are improving, while Monopoli's points trend is declining. With goal expectancies predicting 1.02 for the home side and 1.65 for the away side, we're looking at a match where the visitors are heavily favored to score. So, here is the play. The odds for an Away Win are 1.85. Given Benevento's dominance in the league and their perfect away run, the value is there. Monopoli's home defense is decent (0.50 goals conceded at home), but Benevento's attack is too strong to ignore. If you love winning and love football, you don't bet against form. You bet with the flow. We're taking the Away Win. No need for vegetables here; we want the meat. The edge is clear, the form is undeniable, and the odds offer value over the fair probability. Lock in the Benevento victory.

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📝 Match Preview

SS Monopoli vs Benevento Prediction
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:1.85
Expected Value:+29.5%
Confidence:70

SS Monopoli host league leaders Benevento in a crucial Serie C fixture on March 23, 2026. The gap between the two sides is stark. Benevento sits comfortably in first place with 76 points from 32 games, boasting an impressive record of 24 wins, 4 draws, and only 4 losses. In contrast, SS Monopoli sits in 8th place with 47 points, reflecting a more inconsistent campaign with 13 wins, 8 draws, and 11 losses. Benevento's current form is the defining factor. Over their last 10 games, the visitors have been unbeaten, securing 9 wins and 1 draw. Their away performance is particularly formidable; in their last 5 away games, Benevento has won every single match, scoring an average of 2.80 goals per game on the road. This perfect away record contrasts sharply with SS Monopoli's recent form. The hosts have won only 4 of their last 10 matches, drawing 2 and losing 4. While Monopoli holds a 75% home win rate in their last 4 home games, their overall consistency is lacking compared to the visitors. Head-to-head history offers some context, though recent results favor Benevento. Historically, Monopoli has the edge in H2H with 3 wins to Benevento's 1 win over 5 meetings. However, the most recent encounter ended in a 3-1 victory for Benevento. Given the massive disparity in current form and league standing, the historical H2H is less relevant than the current trajectory. Benevento's goal expectancy is high (1.65 expected goals away), while Monopoli struggles to score consistently (0.70 goals per game overall). The betting market reflects Benevento's superiority with an Away Win price of 1.85. Given Benevento's 90% win rate in their last 10 games and perfect away record, the probability of success for an Away Win exceeds the required threshold for a confident recommendation. The risk of an upset is minimized by the visitors' defensive solidity (0.80 goals conceded per game) and attacking potency. For a cautious bettor prioritizing certainty, the Away Win offers the clearest value proposition available in this fixture.

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📝 Match Preview

SS Monopoli vs Benevento: Serie C Betting Preview
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:1.85
Expected Value:+20.3%
Confidence:75

In the galaxy of Serie C, a significant clash approaches. SS Monopoli hosts Benevento on 2026-03-23. 19:30 kickoff, the time is set. The standings, they tell a tale of disparity. Benevento sits at position 1, with 76 points. SS Monopoli rests at position 8, with 47 points. A 29-point gap exists. In the league, this is a vast distance. Recent form, look closely. Benevento, in their last 10 games, 9 wins they have, 1 draw, 0 losses. 90% win rate, dominant it is. Away from home, 100% win rate in last 5 away games. Goals scored per game: 2.20 average. Goals conceded per game: 0.80 average. Clean sheets, 50% they keep. Strong is their defense. SS Monopoli, a different picture. Last 10 games: 4 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses. 40% win rate. At home, 75% win rate in last 4 home games. Home goals scored: 1.25 per game. Home goals conceded: 0.50 per game. But overall, goals scored is only 0.70 per game. Head-to-head history, complicated it is. SS Monopoli has 3 wins historically against Benevento. But the last meeting, November 16, 2025, 1-3 scoreline, Benevento won. Trends show Benevento improving in goals scored and conceded. Monopoli points trend is declining. Goal expectancies, the math speaks. Home team expects 1.02 goals. Away team expects 1.65 goals. Total expected goals: 2.67. Over 2.5 goals odds: 2.35. Under 2.5 odds: 1.57. Market consensus suggests Under is more likely. Fair probability for Under is 59.95%. But the value, where is it? Away win odds, 1.85. Implied probability is 54%. True probability, 65% I estimate, based on the form gap. Positive EV, there is. Hedge your bets, you should, but the away win, strong signal it sends. Key Points: - Benevento is top of the table (76 pts) vs Monopoli (47 pts). - Benevento has a 100% away win rate in last 5 away games. - Monopoli has a 75% home win rate in last 4 home games. - H2H favors Monopoli historically, but recent meeting was a 3-1 win for Benevento. - Goal expectancy suggests 2.67 total goals. The wise choice: Back the away team. Benevento, the favorite they are. 1.85 odds, good value it offers. Do or do not bet, there is no try. But hedge your bets, you should.

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📝 Match Preview

SS Monopoli vs Benevento - Match Preview
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:1.90
Expected Value:+23.5%
Confidence:75

Right, listen up. It’s Serie C time, and we’ve got a proper clash of styles tonight. SS Monopoli at home against the league leaders, Benevento. This isn’t just any match; it’s a top-of-the-table giant facing a mid-table side, and the numbers tell a pretty clear story. First off, look at the standings. Benevento are sitting pretty at the top of Serie C Girone C with 76 points from 32 games. Monopoli? They’re hovering in 8th place with 47 points. That’s a 29-point gap. In football, points don’t lie, and that’s a massive divide. Benevento have been absolutely relentless, going unbeaten in their last 10 games. That’s 9 wins and just 1 draw. They’re averaging 2.2 goals per game and keeping half their games clean. They’re not just winning; they’re winning comfortably. Monopoli, on the other hand, have been a bit all over the shop. In their last 10 games, they’ve managed 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses. Their home form is decent enough—75% win rate in their last 4 home games—but they’ve conceded 9 goals in their last 10 matches. They’re struggling to find consistency compared to the visitors. Now, let’s talk Head-to-Head. Historically, Monopoli have the edge with 3 wins to Benevento’s 1 in their 5 meetings. However, history isn’t everything. The last time they met on 2025-11-16, Benevento came away with a 3-1 victory. That recent result is the real story here. Benevento’s away form is perfect; they’ve won all of their last 5 away games, scoring 2.8 goals per game on the road. That’s serious firepower. The odds for Benevento to win are sitting at 1.90. Given their 100% away win rate in recent outings and their position at the top of the table, that price looks like a proper bargain. The market might be wary of Monopoli’s H2H record, but current form screams away win. The goal expectancy numbers back this up too, with Benevento expected to score around 1.65 goals compared to Monopoli’s 1.02. So, what’s the move? With Benevento flying high and Monopoli struggling to find that winning touch, the value is clear. The visitors are the ones to back. **Key Points:** * Benevento are top of the table (76 pts) vs Monopoli in 8th (47 pts). * Benevento are unbeaten in 10 games (9 wins, 1 draw). * Benevento have won their last 5 away games, scoring heavily (2.8 goals/game). * Monopoli are inconsistent (4 wins, 4 losses in last 10). * Last H2H meeting ended 3-1 to Benevento. * Odds of 1.90 for an Away Win offer strong value given the form gap. **Verdict:** Back **Benevento to Win**.

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📝 Match Preview

SS Monopoli vs Benevento - Value Vinny Preview
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:1.90
Expected Value:+23.5%
Confidence:65

Odds don’t lie — but bookies do. In this fixture, the mathematics are screaming a clear direction. We are looking at SS Monopoli hosting Benevento in Serie C - Girone C on 2026-03-23. The standings tell the primary story. Benevento sit comfortably in 1st place with 76 points from 32 games. SS Monopoli are 8th with 47 points. A 29-point gap is massive in a league of 20 teams. This isn't just a gap; it's a chasm in relative strength. Form analysis reinforces the standings. Benevento's last 10 games show 9 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses. That is a 90% win rate. Their away form is particularly lethal: a 100% win rate in their last 5 away games, averaging 2.80 goals per game. SS Monopoli, conversely, have a 40% win rate in their last 10 games, averaging 0.70 goals scored per game overall. While Monopoli have a 75% win rate at home, Benevento's away dominance (2.80 goals/game) suggests they will overwhelm the home side. Head-to-Head history is the only variable that complicates the picture. Historically, Monopoli has 3 wins to Benevento's 1 in 5 meetings. However, the most recent meeting on 2025-11-16 ended 1-3 to Benevento. Recent form and current standings usually outweigh historical H2H when the gap is this large. Goal expectancy inputs suggest a total of 2.67 goals (Home 1.02, Away 1.65). The bookmakers have priced the Away Win at 1.90. This implies a probability of roughly 52.6%. Based on the 29-point gap and Benevento's 100% away win rate over their last 5 away games, I estimate the true probability is closer to 65%. This creates a significant Expected Value (EV) of roughly 23.5%. That is well above the 3% threshold for a value bet. **Key Points:** - Benevento leads the table with 76 points; Monopoli are 8th with 47 points. - Benevento have a 90% win rate in their last 10 games. - Benevento average 2.80 goals per game in their last 5 away matches. - Monopoli average 0.70 goals per game in their last 10 matches. - The 1.90 odds for an Away Win offer significant value compared to estimated win probability. **Verdict:** The math is clear. The points gap and recent form heavily favor the visitors. The odds of 1.90 for an Away Win represent genuine value. I am backing the Away Win.

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