Skip to main content

Match analysis

Brazil flagBrazilSerie A

Fluminense vs Flamengo

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Full time2:1HT 2–0

Match Timeline

17'
FlamengoS. Niguez🟨
Yellow Card
25'
FluminenseL. Acosta⚽
Normal Goal β†’ Hercules
33'
FluminenseK. Serna⚽
Normal Goal
45+2'
FlamengoE. Pulgar🟨
Yellow Card
46'
FlamengoJoao VictorπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ Danilo
46'
FlamengoLuiz AraujoπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ Juninho
58'
FlamengoSamuel LinoπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ Everton
59'
FluminenseL. Acosta🟨
Yellow Card
59'
FluminenseEveraldo🟨
Yellow Card
62'
FluminenseL. AcostaπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ Nonato
67'
FlamengoE. PulgarπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ Jorginho
72'
FluminenseEveraldoπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ John Kennedy
79'
FlamengoBruno HenriqueπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ G. Plata
84'
FluminenseRene🟨
Yellow Card
85'
FlamengoJorginho
Penalty
89'
FluminenseK. SernaπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ Ignacio
89'
FluminenseHerculesπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ F. Bernal
90+1'
FlamengoAyrton Lucas🟨
Yellow Card
90+3'
FluminenseSamuel Xavier🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal5
9Total Shots13
2Blocked Shots4
5Shots insidebox9
4Shots outsidebox4
14Fouls12
3Corner Kicks5
2Offsides4
31Ball Possession69
4Yellow Cards3
3Goalkeeper Saves1
245Total passes549
173Passes accurate486
71Passes %89
1.75expected_goals1.54
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (4)

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceYoda Mc Yoda FaceLost

Flamengo's Wisdom to Prevail in Rio Battle

The pickFlamengo win

Chance
55%
Odds
2.00
Model EV
+10.0%

In the grand theater of Brazilian football, two forces converge once more. The table tells a story of different journeys - Flamengo, perched atop the mountain with 71 points, flows with the rhythm of champions. Fluminense, dwelling in the middle realm with 51 points, seeks to…

Umery UnderdogUmery UnderdogWon

Fluminense Ready to Bite League Leaders

The pickFluminense win

Chance
29%
Odds
4.20
Model EV
+21.8%

Oh, what a delightful treat we have here! The little puppies of Fluminense get to host the big bad wolves of Flamengo, and I'm absolutely buzzing with excitement for this one! While everyone will be looking at the league table and seeing Flamengo sitting pretty at the top with…

Mr SimpleMr SimpleLost

Flamengo To Continue Domination In Rio Derby

The pickFlamengo win

Chance
62%
Odds
2.00
Model EV
+24.0%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Rio derby. Flamengo are sitting pretty at the top of the table with 71 points, while Fluminense are stuck in 7th on 51. That's a massive 20-point gap, and it tells you everything you need to know about where these two teams are at…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

FluminenseFluminense

5W 2D 3L1.70 pts/game

FlamengoFlamengo

6W 2D 2L2.00 pts/game

Per game

Fluminense at home vs Flamengo away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match Β· within Serie A

Overall edge
+136Flamengo
Venue edge
+12Fluminense
Rating period
Match snapshot
Fluminense versus Flamengo: long term Elo, before the match
FluminenseFluminenseHomeRatingFlamengoFlamengoAway
Strength
1,596Overall1,732
1,672Match venue1,661
1,672At home1,701
1,461Away1,661
Attack & defence
1,467Attack1,618
1,615Defence1,660
1,500Home attack1,593
1,433Away attack1,593
1,651Home defence1,637
1,543Away defence1,630
Match profile
1,255Goal environment1,610
1,378Home goals1,570
1,377Away goals1,540
1,510Possession1,546
Specialist ratings
1,509Set-piece attack1,536
1,509Set-piece defence1,535
1,598Close games1,620
1,600Winning margin1,768

Match venue compares Fluminense at home with Flamengo away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

FluminenseFluminense1:1

Starting XI

1Fabio1:1
6ReneD
8MartinelliM
90K. SernaM
9EveraldoF
22J. FreytesD
35HerculesM
32L. AcostaM
3Thiago SilvaD
17A. CanobbioM
2Samuel XavierD

FlamengoFlamengo1:1

Starting XI

1A. RossiG
6Ayrton LucasD
8S. NiguezM
16Samuel LinoM
27Bruno HenriqueF
4Leo PereiraD
5E. PulgarM
15J. CarrascalM
61Joao VictorD
7Luiz AraujoM
22Emerson RoyalD