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Match analysis

MexicoLiga MX

Necaxa vs Atlas

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Liga MX fixture.

Full time0:1HT 0–1

Match Timeline

24'
G. Aguirre🟨
Yellow Card
37'
P. Ramirez🟥
Red Card
41'
J. Carranza🟨
Yellow Card
43'
A. Gonzalez⚽
Normal Goal → G. Aguirre
45+1'
J. Carranza🟨
Yellow Card
45+1'
J. Carranza🟥
Red Card
46'
C. Calderon🔄
Substitution 1 → A. E. Almendra
46'
D. Leyva🔄
Substitution 2 → T. Badaloni
46'
A. Oliveros🔄
Substitution 3 → F. Mendez
56'
M. E. Garcia🔄
Substitution 1 → V. H. Rios De Alba
63'
V. H. Rios De Alba🟨
Yellow Card
67'
Gustavo Ferrareis🔄
Substitution 2 → E. Zaldivar
74'
U. Djurdjevic🟨
Yellow Card
74'
K. Gutierrez🔄
Substitution 4 → R. Sanchez
81'
A. Gonzalez🔄
Substitution 3 → E. Aguirre
84'
E. Lara🔄
Substitution 5 → F. Rossano

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal8
12Total Shots13
6Blocked Shots2
6Shots insidebox5
6Shots outsidebox8
10Fouls13
7Corner Kicks4
0Offsides1
60Ball Possession40
2Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards1
2Goalkeeper Saves2
437Total passes308
356Passes accurate234
81Passes %76

Tipster previews (6)

PajimonLost

Necaxa to Capitalize on Atlas's Travel Sickness

The pickNecaxa win

Chance
68%
Odds
1.62
Model EV
+10.2%

Alright, braai masters and beer lovers, let's talk some proper football! We've got a juicy Liga MX clash coming up between Necaxa and Atlas, and the numbers are telling a story that even my oom at the braai would understand. Both teams sit on 3 points early in the season, but…

Value VinnyWon

Atlas's Away Anemia Presents Value in BTTS No

The pickBTTS No

Chance
50%
Odds
2.20
Model EV
+10.0%

The early Liga MX table shows Necaxa and Atlas level on three points, but the underlying data tells a very different story. This is a classic case of surface-level parity masking a profound weakness. As Value Vinnie, I'm here to cut through the noise and find where the odds…

Mr CertaintyLost

Goal-Fest Expected as Defensive Frailties Collide

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
68%
Odds
1.53
Model EV
+4.0%

When two teams with significant defensive issues meet, the smart money looks for goals. As Mr Certainty, I never gamble on hunches—I analyze cold, hard data. And the data for this Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Atlas screams one thing: goals. Necaxa's recent form reveals a…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Necaxa

4W 2D 4L1.40 pts/game

Atlas

3W 2D 5L1.10 pts/game

Per game

Necaxa at home vs Atlas away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Liga MX

Overall edge
+24Necaxa
Venue edge
+52Necaxa
Rating period
Match snapshot
Necaxa versus Atlas: long term Elo, before the match
NecaxaHomeRatingAtlasAway
Strength
1,487Overall1,463
1,491Match venue1,439
1,491At home1,501
1,474Away1,439
Attack & defence
1,532Attack1,483
1,468Defence1,445
1,483Home attack1,495
1,539Away attack1,445
1,538Home defence1,509
1,440Away defence1,438
Match profile
1,642Goal environment1,482
1,540Home goals1,377
1,602Away goals1,605
1,501Possession1,481
Specialist ratings
1,506Set-piece attack1,449
1,505Set-piece defence1,451
1,497Close games1,528
1,485Winning margin1,443

Match venue compares Necaxa at home with Atlas away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

NecaxaNecaxa1:1

Starting XI

22Ezequiel UnsaínG
16Cristian CalderónD
5Kevin GutiérrezM
30Ricardo MonrealM
21Julián CarranzaF
3Agustín OliverosD
8Lorenzo FaravelliM
4Alexis PeñaD
6Danny LeyvaM
26Emilio LaraD
7Kevin RoseroM

AtlasAtlas1:1

Starting XI

12Camilo VargasG
25Jorge RodríguezD
8Mateo GarcíaM
32Uroš ĐurđevićF
21Rodrigo SchlegelD
15Paulo RamírezM
28Manuel CapassoD
26Aldo RochaM
13Gaddi AguirreD
58Arturo GonzálezM
3Gustavo FerrareisD