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Match analysis

Brazil flagBrazilSerie A

Internacional vs Gremio

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Full time0:0HT 0–0

Match Timeline

5'
InternacionalR. Borre🟨
Yellow Card
8'
GremioGustavo Martins🟨
Yellow Card
56'
GremioPedro Gabriel🟨
Yellow Card
56'
GremioTete🔄
Substitution 1 → J. Enamorado
57'
InternacionalR. Villagra🟨
Yellow Card
59'
InternacionalR. Borre🔄
Substitution 1 → Alerrandro
67'
GremioF. Amuzu🔄
Substitution 2 → Gabriel Mec
70'
GremioCarlos Vinicius🟨
Yellow Card
72'
InternacionalBruno Henrique🔄
Substitution 2 → Paulinho Paula
76'
InternacionalG. Mercado🟨
Yellow Card
80'
InternacionalAlan Patrick🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Rodriguez
80'
InternacionalR. Villagra🔄
Substitution 4 → Thiago Maia
80'
InternacionalJ. Carbonero🔄
Substitution 5 → Kayky
80'
GremioPedro Gabriel🔄
Substitution 3 → Caio Paulista
81'
GremioCarlos Vinicius🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Braithwaite
89'
GremioViery🟥
Red Card
90+6'
InternacionalA. Bernabei🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal1
6Shots off Goal3
11Total Shots4
2Blocked Shots0
5Shots insidebox2
6Shots outsidebox2
19Fouls20
8Corner Kicks2
0Offsides3
53Ball Possession47
4Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
1Goalkeeper Saves3
338Total passes298
259Passes accurate222
77Passes %74
0.89expected_goals0.22
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (2)

Value VinnyValue VinnyWon

Internacional vs Gremio: Under 2.5 Goals

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
65%
Odds
1.90
Model EV
+23.5%

Welcome to the Value Vinny analysis. Odds don't lie — but bookies do. Today, we're dissecting the Serie A clash between Internacional and Gremio. The bookmakers are pricing this match with an Over 2.5 Goals probability of roughly 52.6% at 1.90 odds. However, the data tells a…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

InternacionalInternacional

4W 3D 3L1.50 pts/game

GremioGremio

3W 4D 3L1.30 pts/game

Per game

Internacional at home vs Gremio away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+12Gremio
Venue edge
+114Internacional
Rating period
Match snapshot
Internacional versus Gremio: long term Elo, before the match
InternacionalInternacionalHomeRatingGremioGremioAway
Strength
1,531Overall1,542
1,568Match venue1,455
1,568At home1,613
1,531Away1,455
Attack & defence
1,473Attack1,513
1,564Defence1,545
1,513Home attack1,537
1,458Away attack1,483
1,580Home defence1,570
1,555Away defence1,497
Match profile
1,160Goal environment1,205
1,455Home goals1,387
1,205Away goals1,318
1,502Possession1,492
Specialist ratings
1,529Set-piece attack1,515
1,528Set-piece defence1,514
1,513Close games1,479
1,530Winning margin1,558

Match venue compares Internacional at home with Gremio away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

InternacionalInternacional1:1

Starting XI

1Sergio RochetG
26Alexandro BernabeiD
5Rodrigo VillagraM
7Johan CarboneroM
19Rafael BorréF
4Félix TorresD
8Bruno HenriqueM
10Alan PatrickM
25Gabriel MercadoD
28VitinhoM
15Bruno GomesD

GremioGremio1:1

Starting XI

1WevertonG
54Pedro GabrielD
19Erick NoriegaM
9Francis AmuzuM
95Carlos ViníciusF
44VieryD
8ArthurM
6Gustavo MartinsD
5Juan NardoniM
7Cristian PavónD
21TetêM