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Match analysis

Brazil flagBrazilSerie A

Gremio vs Coritiba

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Full time1:0HT 1–0

Match Timeline

-5'
CoritibaBreno Lopes🟨
Yellow Card
10'
GremioCarlos Vinícius🟨
Yellow Card
30'
CoritibaBruno Melo🟥
Red Card
34'
CoritibaBreno Lopes🔄
Substitution 1 → Felipe Jonatan
37'
GremioCarlos Vinícius⚽
Goal cancelled
43'
GremioGabriel Mec⚽
Normal Goal → J. Enamorado
45+6'
GremioLeonel Pérez🟨
Yellow Card
45+8'
CoritibaVini Paulista🟨
Yellow Card
46'
GremioL. Perez🔄
Substitution 1 → E. Noriega
48'
GremioViery🟨
Yellow Card
59'
CoritibaVini Paulista🔄
Substitution 2 → Willian Oliveira
59'
CoritibaMaicon🔄
Substitution 3 → Joao Pedro Chermont
69'
GremioJ. Enamorado🔄
Substitution 2 → Tete
75'
GremioCarlos Vinicius🔄
Substitution 3 → M. Braithwaite
75'
GremioGabriel Mec🔄
Substitution 4 → J. Nardoni
78'
CoritibaThiago Santos🔄
Substitution 4 → Tiago Coser
78'
CoritibaPedro Rocha🔄
Substitution 5 → J. Lavega
89'
GremioArthur Melo🔄
Substitution 5 → Riquelme
90+4'
GremioJuan Nardoni⚽
Goal cancelled
90+8'
CoritibaJacy Maranhão🟥
Red Card

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal7
22Total Shots15
12Blocked Shots4
13Shots insidebox8
9Shots outsidebox7
20Fouls11
5Corner Kicks2
5Offsides0
56Ball Possession44
3Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards2
4Goalkeeper Saves5
442Total passes341
383Passes accurate279
87Passes %82
1.2expected_goals0.65
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (3)

PajimonPajimonWon

Gremio vs Coritiba Preview

The pickGremio win

Chance
60%
Odds
1.95
Model EV
+17.0%

Boerebrood and boerewors on the grill, a cold beer in hand, and it’s matchday! I’m Pajimon, and let’s get straight to the meat of this fixture. Gremio host Coritiba in the Brazilian Serie A. I don’t do vegetables, I do results, and the data points firmly to the home side. Gremio…

Mr SimpleMr SimpleWon

Gremio vs Coritiba Preview

The pickGremio win

Chance
75%
Odds
1.95
Model EV
+46.3%

Right then, let’s get straight into this Serie A clash between Gremio and Coritiba. It’s a proper test of grit and organisation, and the numbers tell a clear story. Gremio are sitting 13th with 13 points from 12 games, but their home fortress is looking solid. In their last four…

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceYoda Mc Yoda FaceWon

Gremio vs Coritiba Preview

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
70%
Odds
1.65
Model EV
+15.5%

To the Arena do Beira-Rio, we travel in spirit, to watch Gremio and Coritiba face off. A clash of titans from the south, it is. Do or do not bet, there is no try... but hedge your bets, you should. Look at Gremio, at home. Four games, zero goals conceded, they have. A fortress…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

GremioGremio

3W 3D 4L1.20 pts/game

CoritibaCoritiba

4W 4D 2L1.60 pts/game

Per game

Gremio at home vs Coritiba away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+15Gremio
Venue edge
+183Gremio
Rating period
Match snapshot
Gremio versus Coritiba: long term Elo, before the match
GremioGremioHomeRatingCoritibaCoritibaAway
Strength
1,528Overall1,512
1,613Match venue1,430
1,613At home1,471
1,451Away1,430
Attack & defence
1,489Attack1,477
1,550Defence1,532
1,537Home attack1,415
1,463Away attack1,500
1,570Home defence1,565
1,508Away defence1,431
Match profile
1,195Goal environment1,392
1,387Home goals1,270
1,308Away goals1,622
1,494Possession1,476
Specialist ratings
1,498Set-piece attack1,444
1,498Set-piece defence1,446
1,480Close games1,500
1,538Winning margin1,521

Match venue compares Gremio at home with Coritiba away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

GremioGremio1:1

Starting XI

1WevertonG
54Pedro GabrielD
8ArthurM
9Francis AmuzuM
95Carlos ViníciusF
44VieryD
33Leonel PérezM
37Gabriel MecM
3Wagner LeonardoD
99José EnamoradoM
7Cristian PavonD

CoritibaCoritiba1:1

Starting XI

22Pedro RangelG
26Bruno MeloD
36Vini PaulistaM
77Breno LopesM
32Pedro RochaF
3MaiconD
21Thiago SantosM
10JosuéM
55Jacy MaranhãoD
11Lucas RonierM
2TingaD