Match analysis
BrazilSerie A
Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.
Alan Franco🟨
Otávio Henrique Passos Santos🟨Luciano Acosta🔄Agustín Canobbio🔄Reinier Jesus Carvalho⚽Tomás Cuello⚽Alan Franco🔄Kevin Castaño🔄Rodrigo Castillo🟨Tomás Cuello🔄Bernard Anício Caldeira Duarte🔄Otávio Henrique Passos Santos🔄Jefferson David Savarino Quintero🔄Reinier Jesus Carvalho🔄Vitor Fernandes Chaves Teixeira⚽Rodrigo Castillo⚽Julio César Lima Fidelis🔄Atletico-MG got the job done on Saturday 12 September, winning 3-1 at home to Fluminense (Serie A). It was goalless at half-time, with Atletico-MG doing the damage after the restart. Fluminense had 52% of the ball, and the shot count went 15-10 to Atletico-MG.
Reinier Jesus Carvalho (61'), Tomás Cuello (63') and Vitor Fernandes Chaves Teixeira (81') got on the scoresheet for Atletico-MG. For Fluminense, Rodrigo Castillo (90') was on target.
Anyone on Atletico-MG to win was paid out, as our tipster advised.
4W 4D 2L1.60 pts/game
Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.
| Atletico-MGHome | Rating | FluminenseAway |
|---|---|---|
| Strength | ||
| 1,575 | Overall | 1,664 |
| 1,640 | Match venue | 1,498 |
| 1,640 | At home | 1,718 |
| 1,480 | Away | 1,498 |
| Attack & defence | ||
| 1,492 | Attack | 1,547 |
| 1,588 | Defence | 1,602 |
| 1,567 | Home attack | 1,552 |
| 1,417 | Away attack | 1,476 |
| 1,576 | Home defence | 1,641 |
| 1,573 | Away defence | 1,546 |
| Match profile | ||
| 1,582 | Goal environment | 1,283 |
| 1,672 | Home goals | 1,400 |
| 1,410 | Away goals | 1,383 |
| 1,502 | Possession | 1,542 |
| Specialist ratings | ||
| 1,471 | Set-piece attack | 1,541 |
| 1,472 | Set-piece defence | 1,540 |
| 1,555 | Close games | 1,631 |
| 1,586 | Winning margin | 1,675 |
Match venue compares Atletico-MG at home with Fluminense away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.
Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.
Atletico-MG1:1Fluminense1:1
Value VinnyWonThe pickAtletico-MG win
The bookmakers are looking at the league table, but they aren't looking at the reality of the road. Fluminense sits in 4th place, a respectable position, but their away form is a statistical anomaly that demands our immediate attention. In their last four away fixtures, they…
The head-to-head covers 34 games since July 2012, and Atletico-MG have won 14, Fluminense have taken nine and 11 were drawn. Every tip we publish on the two sides together sits on our Atletico-MG vs Fluminense prediction page.
