Sun, 20 Sept 2026, 19:00
Serie A
Brazil
Brazil
Full Time

Match Timeline

20'
Memphis Depay🟨
Yellow Card
24'
Hulk⚽
Normal Goal → Luciano Acosta
24'
Hulk⚽
Goal confirmed
35'
Matheuzinho🟨
Yellow Card
44'
Samuel Xavier Brito🟨
Yellow Card
45'
Iago Machado🔄
Substitution 1 → Gui Negão
45+6'
Matheus Martinelli Lima🟨
Yellow Card
56'
Gustavo Henrique⚽
Normal Goal
59'
Samuel Xavier Brito🔄
Substitution 1 → Julio César Lima Fidelis
59'
Luciano Acosta🔄
Substitution 2 → Paulo Henrique Chagas de Lima
61'
André🟨
Yellow Card
62'
Agustín Canobbio🟨
Yellow Card
64'
Julio César Lima Fidelis🟨
Yellow Card
71'
Gustavo Nonato Santana🟨
Yellow Card
76'
Hulk⚽
Normal Goal → Paulo Henrique Chagas de Lima
76'
Agustín Canobbio🔄
Substitution 3 → Riquelme Felipe·Silva de Almeida
76'
Gustavo Nonato Santana🔄
Substitution 4 → Hércules Pereira do Nascimento
80'
André🔄
Substitution 2 → Jesse Lingard
81'
Memphis Depay🔄
Substitution 3 → Pedro Raul
87'
Hulk🔄
Substitution 5 → Rodrigo Castillo
88'
Breno Bidon🔄
Substitution 4 → Matheus Pereira
90+3'
Kevin Serna⚽
Normal Goal → Matheus Martinelli Lima

Match Statistics

452Passes accurate349
11Shots insidebox8
9Shots outsidebox2
7Blocked Shots2
21Free Kicks14
7Shots on Goal6
3Goalkeeper Saves6
6Shots off Goal2
1Offsides1
513Total passes417
20Total Shots10
3Yellow Cards5
11Corner Kicks1
16Fouls21
0Red Cards0
57Ball Possession43

Starting Lineups

CorinthiansCorinthians1:1

Starting XI

1Hugo SouzaG
21Matheus BiduD
14RanieleM
7BrenoM
10M. DepayF
13Gustavo HenriqueD
49AndreM
8R. GarroM
55I. MachadoD
37Kaio CésarM
2MatheuzinhoD

FluminenseFluminense1:1

Starting XI

1FábioG
6RenêD
8MartinelliM
90K. SernaM
7HulkF
29J. MillánD
16NonatoM
32L. AcostaM
3Thiago SilvaD
17A. CanobbioM
2Samuel XavierD

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Corinthians
Corinthians
Form: L-L-D-L-L
Fluminense
Fluminense
Form: L-L-W-W-D
Record
2 W
2 D
6 L
•
4 W
4 D
2 L
Goals Per Game
0.8
Scored
vs
1.5
Scored
1.1
Conceded
vs
1.3
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
30%
Clean Sheets
30%
BTTS
50%
BTTS
70%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:0.6
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:1.2
Away:1.0
Scored
Home:1.6
Away:1.4
Conceded
Home:0.6
Away:2.0

ELO comparison

Pre-match ratings

Rating period
Match snapshot
Corinthians versus Fluminense: long term ELO, before the match
CorinthiansHomeRatingFluminenseAway
Strength
1,513.2Overall1,643.9
1,554.4Match venue1,490.3
1,554.4At home1,718.4
1,502.4Away1,490.3
Attack & defence
1,470Attack1,543.9
1,587.6Defence1,583
1,488.5Home attack1,552.2
1,455.9Away attack1,475.5
1,603.2Home defence1,640.5
1,548.3Away defence1,532.9
Match profile
926.7Goal environment1,288.3
1,268.3Home goals1,400
1,158.3Away goals1,388.3
1,524.6Possession1,541.2
Specialist ratings
1,508.8Set-piece attack1,531.5
1,508.6Set-piece defence1,531
1,465.9Close games1,631.2
1,531.3Winning margin1,648.9

Match venue compares Corinthians at home with Fluminense away. All ratings are within this league.

Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.

📝 Match Preview

Corinthians vs Fluminense: Fluminense's Defense is a Revolving Door!
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:2.40
Expected Value:+15.2%
Confidence:6

Listen up, fans of the beautiful game! If you’re looking for a snooze-fest, you’re in the wrong place. Life’s too short for nil-nil draws and tactical stalemates that make you want to nap on the sofa. We want action, we want drama, and most importantly, we want the ball hitting the back of the net! The Big "O" is here to ensure we find the heat. Today, we’re breaking down a clash between Corinthians and Fluminense in the Serie A. Now, if you look at the surface, Corinthians has been having a rough patch at home, struggling to find the net with a meager 0.60 goals per game. However, here is where the 'Big O' sees the real opportunity: Fluminense’s defensive record on the road is absolutely embarrassing. They are conceding a staggering 2.00 goals per game away from home. That’s not a defense; that’s an open invitation to the opposition to come and help themselves! Fluminense might be the more 'stable' side in terms of points, but their away form shows they are willing to trade blows. Look at their recent outings: a 3-3 draw, a 3-2 win, and a 2-1 loss. These aren't 'park the bus' performances; these are 'let's see who can score more' spectacles. When you combine Fluminense's tendency to concede away with the fact that they average 1.40 goals scored on the road, the math starts to scream 'Over.' Corinthians, while not the most prolific scoring machine at home, have faced Fluminense before, and the history shows a decent amount of activity. The head-to-head record sees an average of 1.50 goals scored per match, with 50% of those meetings going over the 2.5 goal line. With Fluminense’s leaky backline and their penchant for involvement in high-scoring affairs, we are looking for a match where the defenses simply crumble under the pressure of the attack. The goal expectancy sits comfortably at 2.60, and with the bookmakers offering 2.40 for the Over 2.5 Goals market, we’ve found ourselves a sweet spot of value. Fluminense’s defense is a revolving door, and while Corinthians might not be the most clinical finishers, the sheer volume of chances created by a porous away side usually leads to a goal-fest. Let’s skip the boring stuff and go for the action. It’s time to get those goals! Key Points: - Fluminense's away defense is highly vulnerable, conceding 2.00 goals per game. - Fluminense's recent away results are high-scoring (3-3, 3-2, 2-1). - Goal expectancy is 2.60, providing a mathematical edge over the 2.40 odds. - Head-to-head history shows 50% of matches have exceeded the 2.5 goal threshold. - Fluminense has a 70% Both Teams to Score rate in their last 10 matches. We are looking for a high-scoring affair where Fluminense's leaky defense allows the goals to flow. The best bet here is Over 2.5 Goals.

Read Full Preview →