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Match analysis

BrazilSerie B

Avai vs Ceara

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie B fixture.

Full time0:1HT 0–0

Match Timeline

3'
Reynaldo Cesar Moraes🔄
Substitution 1 → Jefferson Maciel
37'
Romildo🟨
Yellow Card
37'
Wenderson🟨
Yellow Card
38'
Luiz Otávio🟨
Yellow Card
55'
Richardson🟨
Yellow Card
60'
Léo Gamalho🔄
Substitution 2 → Caio Suassuna Gonçalves Ferreira
63'
Richardson🔄
Substitution 1 → Vinicius Zanocelo
63'
Lucca Holanda Sampaio Tavares🔄
Substitution 2 → Vinícius
70'
João Vitor🔄
Substitution 3 → Wallison
70'
Romildo🔄
Substitution 4 → Gaspar
71'
Felipe Vizeu🟨
Yellow Card
75'
Enzo Valentim Lodovico🔄
Substitution 3 → Rian Bonfim De Santana
75'
Bryan Borges Mascarenhas🔄
Substitution 4 → Janderson Gabriel De Oliveira Martins
87'
Matheus Araujo🔄
Substitution 5 → Renzo López
90+2'
Daniel Penha🟨
Yellow Card
90+6'
Luiz Otávio⚽
Normal Goal → Renzo López

Match Statistics

367Passes accurate288
11Shots insidebox6
9Shots outsidebox7
4Blocked Shots2
15Free Kicks9
5Shots on Goal5
4Goalkeeper Saves5
11Shots off Goal6
3Offsides0
430Total passes350
20Total Shots13
4Yellow Cards2
8Corner Kicks6
10Fouls16
0Red Cards0
56Ball Possession44

Tipster previews (3)

Mr CertaintyWon

Avai vs Ceara: The Case for Under 2.5 Goals

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
70%
Odds
1.70
Model EV
+19.0%

This is not a match where I'm reaching for a long shot. This is a match where the numbers line up in one direction, and I'm going to walk you through exactly why I'm comfortable placing a stake on Under 2.5 Goals. Avai sit 17th in Serie B with 30 points from 30 games — 8 wins, 6…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Avai

3W 1D 6L1.00 pts/game

Ceara

4W 2D 4L1.40 pts/game

Per game

Avai at home vs Ceara away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie B

Overall edge
+60Ceara
Venue edge
+83Avai
Rating period
Match snapshot
Avai versus Ceara: long term Elo, before the match
AvaiHomeRatingCearaAway
Strength
1,466Overall1,527
1,547Match venue1,464
1,547At home1,600
1,450Away1,464
Attack & defence
1,447Attack1,480
1,514Defence1,523
1,481Home attack1,504
1,426Away attack1,460
1,576Home defence1,568
1,502Away defence1,503
Match profile
1,100Goal environment1,517
1,313Home goals1,522
1,287Away goals1,495
1,478Possession1,506
Specialist ratings
1,436Set-piece attack1,514
1,438Set-piece defence1,514
1,481Close games1,542
1,457Winning margin1,521

Match venue compares Avai at home with Ceara away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

AvaiAvai1:1

Starting XI

94Bruno FerreiraG
36DGD
8Luiz HenriqueM
10Jean LucasM
9Léo GamalhoF
40ReynaldoD
5Del PiageM
95WendersonM
3AllysonD
14Daniel PenhaM
22João Vitor Cardoso de SouzaD

CearaCeara1:1

Starting XI

1RichardG
31BryanD
81Joao GabrielM
8Matheus AraújoM
99LuccaF
13Luiz OtávioD
26RichardsonM
40RichardM
4Luiz OtávioD
60EnzoM
2Rafael RamosD