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Match analysis

BrazilSerie B

Vila Nova vs Cuiaba

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie B fixture.

Full time0:0HT 0–0

Match Timeline

16'
Eduardo Maciel de Barros🟨
Yellow Card
57'
Higor Luiz de Souza🟨
Yellow Card
59'
Janderson🟨
Yellow Card
64'
Everton Galdino🔄
Substitution 1 → Lincoln
64'
Eduardo Dos Santos🟨
Yellow Card
66'
Calebe🟨
Yellow Card
70'
Fabio Gomes🔄
Substitution 1 → Pedro Henrique
75'
Janderson🔄
Substitution 2 → Ryan lima
76'
André Luís🔄
Substitution 3 → Emerson
76'
David Miguel de Souza Arcanjo🔄
Substitution 2 → Wesley Dias Claudino
76'
Jean Dias da Costa🔄
Substitution 3 → Rodrigo Antonio Rodrigues
76'
Eduardo Dos Santos🔄
Substitution 4 → Higor Meritão
83'
Kauan Cristtyan Cabral do Carmo🔄
Substitution 4 → Eliel Chrystian
84'
Emerson🟨
Yellow Card
89'
Marquinhos Gabriel🔄
Substitution 5 → Raphael Guimarães de Paula

Match Statistics

261Passes accurate278
9Shots insidebox6
4Shots outsidebox3
3Blocked Shots3
14Free Kicks19
3Shots on Goal1
1Goalkeeper Saves3
7Shots off Goal5
2Offsides1
335Total passes353
13Total Shots9
4Yellow Cards1
8Corner Kicks4
19Fouls16
0Red Cards0
49Ball Possession51

Tipster previews (6)

Value VinnyLost

Vila Nova's Fortress at Home: Value in the 2.20

The pickVila Nova win

Chance
60%
Odds
2.20
Model EV
+32.0%

Odds don't lie — but bookies do. And right now, the bookies are pricing Vila Nova's home win at 2.20 as if they're a mid-table side having a good stretch. They're not. They're the league leaders, sitting on 57 points from 31 games, and their home form over the last five fixtures…

The Big "O"Lost

Vila Nova vs Cuiaba: The Big O Sees Goals Coming

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
58%
Odds
2.53
Model EV
+46.7%

Right, folks, gather 'round because The Big O is back and I've got a proper one for you. Vila Nova host Cuiaba in Serie B on Tuesday night, and let me tell you — this one's got the smell of goals all over it. I don't do nil-nils. I don't do 1-0 grinders. I do this. And this…

PajimonLost

Vila Nova to Crush Cuiaba at Home – Serie B Tip

The pickVila Nova win

Chance
62%
Odds
2.20
Model EV
+36.4%

Bro, let me tell you something – Vila Nova at home right now? That's not a football team, that's a meat grinder. And Cuiaba? They're coming in like a guy who ordered the veggie plate at a braai. "What do you mean no meat?" is exactly what I'd say to Cuiaba's away record. Vila…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Vila Nova

7W 2D 1L2.30 pts/game

Cuiaba

6W 2D 2L2.00 pts/game

Per game

Vila Nova at home vs Cuiaba away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie B

Overall edge
+17Vila Nova
Venue edge
+170Vila Nova
Rating period
Match snapshot
Vila Nova versus Cuiaba: long term Elo, before the match
Vila NovaHomeRatingCuiabaAway
Strength
1,597Overall1,580
1,663Match venue1,492
1,663At home1,602
1,467Away1,492
Attack & defence
1,479Attack1,468
1,586Defence1,598
1,547Home attack1,504
1,401Away attack1,421
1,605Home defence1,619
1,538Away defence1,536
Match profile
1,015Goal environment1,342
1,145Home goals1,452
1,370Away goals1,390
1,497Possession1,489
Specialist ratings
1,479Set-piece attack1,527
1,479Set-piece defence1,526
1,584Close games1,573
1,596Winning margin1,582

Match venue compares Vila Nova at home with Cuiaba away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Vila NovaVila Nova1:1

Starting XI

1Helton LeiteG
6HigorD
15DuduM
99JandersonM
7André LuísF
4Douglas MendesD
5João VieiraM
10Marquinhos GabrielM
3Tiago PagnussatD
17Everton GaldinoM
22HaynerD

CuiabaCuiaba1:1

Starting XI

1João CarlosG
4Vitor MendesD
36LorenzoM
77Jean DiasM
90Fábio GomesF
5CalebeD
20David MiguelM
41KauanM
13João BassoD
30RaulM
2Igor InocêncioM