Sat, 11 Apr 2026, 15:00
Bundesliga
Austria
Austria
Full Time
0:0
HT: 0 - 0

Match Timeline

19'
R. Renner🔄
Substitution 1 → D. Djuric
44'
Martin Rasner🟨
Yellow Card
46'
M. Rasner🔄
Substitution 1 → J. Mayer
50'
A. van Wyk🔄
Substitution 2 → J. Boguo
57'
J. Ngankam🔄
Substitution 2 → D. Atanga
57'
M. Sulzner🔄
Substitution 3 → E. Kujovic
57'
D. Avdijaj🔄
Substitution 4 → E. Kojzek
61'
Philipp Pomer🟨
Yellow Card
67'
N. Bajlicz🔄
Substitution 3 → J. Nasrawe
80'
D. Zukic🔄
Substitution 5 → F. Wohlmuth

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal4
5Shots off Goal2
11Total Shots8
4Blocked Shots2
7Shots insidebox6
4Shots outsidebox2
9Fouls13
7Corner Kicks5
3Offsides0
39Ball Possession61
0Yellow Cards2
4Goalkeeper Saves2
287Total passes467
207Passes accurate393
72Passes %84
0.82expected_goals1.44
0goals_prevented0

Starting Lineups

Wolfsberger ACWolfsberger AC1:1

Starting XI

12Nikolas PolsterG
37Nicolas WimmerD
77René RennerM
10Donis AvdijajF
15Cheick Mamadou DiabateD
8Simon PiesingerM
24Jessic NgankamF
22Dominik BaumgartnerD
30Marco SulznerM
20Dejan ZukićF
7Angelo GattermayerM

RiedRied1:1

Starting XI

1Andreas LeitnerG
30Oliver SteurerD
17Philipp PomerM
29Antonio Van WykF
7Kingstone MutandwaF
23Michael SollbauerD
8Martin RasnerM
6Yusuf MaartM
5Nikki HavenaarD
12Ante BajićM
28Nicolas BajliczF

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Wolfsberger AC
Wolfsberger AC
Form: L-D-L-L-D
Ried
Ried
Form: W-L-D-W-L
Record
1 W
3 D
6 L
•
3 W
3 D
4 L
Goals Per Game
1.1
Scored
vs
1.4
Scored
2.0
Conceded
vs
1.4
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
0%
Clean Sheets
10%
BTTS
70%
BTTS
70%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.6
Away:0.6
Conceded
Home:1.6
Away:2.4
Scored
Home:1.7
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:1.2
Away:1.8

ELO comparison

Pre-match ratings

Rating period
Match snapshot
Wolfsberger AC versus Ried: long term ELO, before the match
Wolfsberger ACHomeRatingRiedAway
Strength
1,510.7Overall1,496.8
1,526.8Match venue1,388.5
1,526.8At home1,518.9
1,549.6Away1,388.5
Attack & defence
1,522.5Attack1,479.4
1,514.7Defence1,513
1,536.2Home attack1,481.4
1,527.3Away attack1,412.1
1,542.3Home defence1,514.5
1,528.4Away defence1,496.7
Match profile
2,038.3Goal environment1,756.7
1,735Home goals1,675
1,803.3Away goals1,581.7
1,508.7Possession1,491.1
Specialist ratings
1,496.7Set-piece attack1,486
1,496.7Set-piece defence1,486.3
1,493.9Close games1,499.3
1,514.7Winning margin1,502.5

Match venue compares Wolfsberger AC at home with Ried away. All ratings are within this league.

Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.

📝 Match Preview

Wolfsberger AC vs Ried Betting Preview
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.90
Expected Value:+14.0%
Confidence:7

Listen closely, young bettor. The Force of football is strong with this fixture. Wolfsberger AC hosts Ried in the Austrian Bundesliga. Patience, you must have. Do or do not bet, there is no try. But hedge your bets, you should. Wolfsberger AC, they struggle. In their last 10 games, they have only 1 win, 3 draws, and 6 losses. Their points per game is 0.60, a low number indeed. Goals scored average 1.10, but goals conceded average 2.00. A clean sheet? None in the last 10 matches. Their defense is leaking like a broken pipe. Home performance shows 20% win rate in last 5 home games. Away performance is 0% win rate in last 5 away games. Ried, the visitors, they are stronger. In their last 10 games, 3 wins, 3 draws, 4 losses. Points per game 1.20. They score 1.40 goals per game and concede 1.40. They are more balanced, yes. Away performance shows 0% win rate in last 4 away games. But they score 1.00 goals per game away. Head-to-head history, it speaks of goals. In 10 meetings, 7 matches saw Over 2.5 Goals. Both teams scored in 6 of those matches. The last meeting, Ried won 1-0. But history shows high scoring. Total goals in H2H: 16 scored, 11 conceded by Wolves. Goal expectancy, the math says 2.98 total goals. Home 1.68, Away 1.30. This is close to 3 goals. The market odds for Over 2.5 Goals are 1.90. This implies a 52.6% probability. If the true probability is higher, value exists. Hedge your bets, you should. Do not put all your chips on one horse. But for this match, the signs point to goals. Wolfsberger AC concedes heavily. Ried scores consistently. Confidence level is 7 out of 10. The edge is sufficient. Key Points: - Wolfsberger AC: 0.60 PPG, 2.00 goals conceded/game. - Ried: 1.20 PPG, 1.40 goals scored/game. - H2H: 70% Over 2.5 Goals. - Goal Expectancy: 2.98 total. Recommendation: Over 2.5 Goals.

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📝 Match Preview

Wolfsberger AC vs Ried Betting Preview
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.90
Expected Value:+14.0%
Confidence:7

Life's too short for nil-nil, and this fixture screams goals. Wolfsberger AC hosts Ried in the Bundesliga, and the data points squarely to an exciting, high-scoring affair. The Big O loves a good goal fest, and the numbers here are singing. The Head-to-Head record is the first clue. In their last 10 meetings, 7 matches saw Over 2.5 Goals. That's a 70% strike rate, which is a massive signal for goal lovers. The last meeting ended 0-1, but historically, these two teams tend to find the net. Looking at recent form, Wolfsberger AC has been leaky. In their last 10 games, they have zero clean sheets. They concede an average of 2.00 goals per game overall, and 1.60 at home. Ried isn't exactly a fortress either, conceding 1.75 goals per game on the road. When you combine a home side that can't keep a clean sheet with an away side that concedes regularly, the path to Over 2.5 Goals opens up. The goal expectancy model suggests a combined total of 2.98 goals for this match. This statistical projection aligns with the H2H trend. The bookmakers are offering 1.90 for Over 2.5 Goals. This implies a probability of roughly 52.6%, but the historical and statistical data suggests the true probability is closer to 60%. That's a clear value edge for the bettor. Ried has shown improvement in their scoring trend recently, while Wolfsberger AC's defense remains porous. With both teams averaging over 1.0 goals scored in their last 10 games, and the H2H history heavily favoring goals, the Over 2.5 Goals market looks like the smart play. Key Points: - H2H: 7 of 10 matches went Over 2.5 Goals. - Wolfsberger AC has 0% clean sheet rate in last 10 games. - Goal Expectancy: 2.98 total goals. - Ried concedes 1.75 goals per game away. - Odds 1.90 offer value over implied probability. **The Big O Verdict**: The numbers don't lie—this one is going Over 2.5 Goals.

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