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Match analysis

ItalySerie A

Lecce vs AS Roma

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Full time0:4HT 0–3

Match Timeline

4'
D. Malen⚽
Normal Goal
9'
Donyell Malen🟨
Yellow Card
23'
D. Malen⚽
Normal Goal → Wesley Franca
25'
M. Soule⚽
Normal Goal
46'
O. Gorter🔄
Substitution 1 → Y. Maleh
46'
Tiago Gabriel🔄
Substitution 2 → K. Ndri
54'
W. Geubbels🔄
Substitution 3 → N. Stulic
60'
Wesley Franca🔄
Substitution 1 → N. Molina
60'
M. Soule🔄
Substitution 2 → R. Mora
65'
R. Mora⚽
Normal Goal → G. Mancini
67'
M. Kone🔄
Substitution 3 → N. Pisilli
67'
D. Malen🔄
Substitution 4 → S. Castro
72'
O. Ngom🔄
Substitution 4 → I. Ilic
72'
S. Pierotti🔄
Substitution 5 → A. Fatah
84'
P. Dybala🔄
Substitution 5 → M. De Roon
90'
Ivan Ilić🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal8
4Shots off Goal7
7Total Shots15
0Blocked Shots0
3Shots insidebox10
4Shots outsidebox5
9Fouls8
2Corner Kicks1
0Offsides9
36Ball Possession64
1Yellow Cards1
4Goalkeeper Saves2
376Total passes680
294Passes accurate596
78Passes %88
0.74expected_goals3.35
0.2goals_prevented0.2

Tipster preview

PajimonWon

Lecce vs AS Roma - Roma's Historical Dominance

The pickAS Roma win

Chance
75%
Odds
1.48
Model EV
+11.0%

Howzit, my people! Pajimon here, and we are looking at a massive clash in Serie A. We’ve got Lecce hosting AS Roma, and let me tell you, there is plenty of meat on the bone for this one. When we talk about dominance, we are talking about the Giallorossi. I don't care about the…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Lecce

6W 1D 3L1.90 pts/game

AS Roma

6W 2D 2L2.00 pts/game

Per game

Lecce at home vs AS Roma away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+215AS Roma
Venue edge
+125AS Roma
Rating period
Match snapshot
Lecce versus AS Roma: long term Elo, before the match
LecceHomeRatingAS RomaAway
Strength
1,531Overall1,746
1,479Match venue1,604
1,479At home1,760
1,481Away1,604
Attack & defence
1,417Attack1,645
1,587Defence1,698
1,381Home attack1,643
1,418Away attack1,534
1,551Home defence1,723
1,580Away defence1,623
Match profile
1,422Goal environment2,095
1,485Home goals1,868
1,437Away goals1,727
1,452Possession1,530
Specialist ratings
1,462Set-piece attack1,533
1,463Set-piece defence1,532
1,525Close games1,577
1,533Winning margin1,791

Match venue compares Lecce at home with AS Roma away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

LecceLecce1:1

Starting XI

30W. FalconeG
44Tiago GabrielD
3C. NdabaM
69W. GeubbelsF
4K. GasparD
28O. GorterM
50S. PierottiF
5J. SiebertD
79O. NgomM
29L. CoulibalyM
17D. VeigaM

AS RomaAS Roma1:1

Starting XI

99M. SvilarG
22M. HermosoD
43Wesley FrancaM
18M. SouleF
14D. MalenF
23G. ManciniD
4B. CristanteM
21P. DybalaF
87D. GhilardiD
17M. KoneM
77E. LulliM