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Match analysis

ItalySerie A

Genoa vs Fiorentina

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Full time2:1HT 2–0

Match Timeline

7'
Milutin Osmajić⚽
Normal Goal → Mikael Ellertsson
15'
Junior Messias⚽
Normal Goal → Milutin Osmajić
15'
Luca Ranieri🟨
Yellow Card
21'
Christ Inao Oulaï🟨
Yellow Card
45'
Luca Ranieri🔄
Substitution 2 → Viery
45'
Christ Inao Oulaï🔄
Substitution 1 → Alieu Njie
57'
Stephan El Shaarawy🔄
Substitution 2 → Samuel Wiafe
57'
Junior Messias🔄
Substitution 1 → Vítor Manuel Carvalho Oliveira
60'
Viery🟨
Yellow Card
65'
Beto🔄
Substitution 3 → Mateo Pellegrino
66'
Sebastian Otoa🔄
Substitution 3 → Alessandro Marcandalli
73'
Johan Vásquez⚽
Own Goal
74'
Hamed Junior Traorè🟨
Yellow Card
80'
Álex Jiménez🔄
Substitution 4 → Domilson Dodo
81'
Kingsley Ehizibue🔄
Substitution 4 → David Puczka
81'
Wilfried Gnonto🔄
Substitution 5 → Pedro Goncalves
82'
Mikael Ellertsson🔄
Substitution 5 → Stefano Sabelli
84'
Johan Vásquez🟨
Yellow Card
85'
Samuel Wiafe🟨
Yellow Card
90+1'
Vítor Manuel Carvalho Oliveira🟨
Yellow Card
90+5'
Stefano Sabelli🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

1.41expected_goals0.96
209Passes accurate407
7Shots insidebox9
3Shots outsidebox3
1Blocked Shots4
8Free Kicks10
4Shots on Goal3
3Goalkeeper Saves2
5Shots off Goal5
2Offsides2
274Total passes477
10Total Shots12
5Yellow Cards3
3Corner Kicks4
11Fouls10
0Red Cards0
37Ball Possession63

Tipster previews (6)

Value Vinny

Fiorentina Hold the Edge in Form for Genoa Visit

The pickFiorentina win

Chance
45%
Odds
2.39
Model EV
+7.5%

Fiorentina walk into this Serie A fixture at Genoa's ground carrying a significantly stronger recent record than their hosts. Over their last 10 matches across all venues, Fiorentina have collected 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses for 1.5 points per game, scoring 1.7 goals per game…

Yoda Mc Yoda Face

Genoa vs Fiorentina: The Purple Tide Rolls In

The pickFiorentina win

Chance
45%
Odds
2.39
Model EV
+7.5%

The force is strong with Fiorentina, and the numbers do not hide it. Over their last ten matches, the visitors have collected four wins, three draws and three losses, scoring 1.7 goals per game while conceding 1.6. Genoa, by contrast, have won only two of their last ten, drawing…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Genoa

2W 1D 7L0.70 pts/game

Fiorentina

3W 4D 3L1.30 pts/game

Per game

Genoa at home vs Fiorentina away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+80Fiorentina
Venue edge
+43Fiorentina
Rating period
Match snapshot
Genoa versus Fiorentina: long term Elo, before the match
GenoaHomeRatingFiorentinaAway
Strength
1,497Overall1,577
1,506Match venue1,549
1,506At home1,594
1,484Away1,549
Attack & defence
1,465Attack1,492
1,555Defence1,558
1,490Home attack1,496
1,422Away attack1,512
1,534Home defence1,596
1,583Away defence1,529
Match profile
1,538Goal environment1,855
1,582Home goals1,660
1,457Away goals1,695
1,497Possession1,495
Specialist ratings
1,487Set-piece attack1,497
1,486Set-piece defence1,497
1,486Close games1,551
1,504Winning margin1,577

Match venue compares Genoa at home with Fiorentina away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

GenoaGenoa1:1

Starting XI

1J. BijlowG
22J. VásquezD
77M. EllertssonM
92S. El ShaarawyM
18M. OsmajićF
5L. ØstigårdD
25H. TraorèM
10Junior MessiasM
34S. OtoaD
32M. FrendrupM
3K. EhizibueM

FiorentinaFiorentina1:1

Starting XI

43David de GeaG
21ValdeD
44N. FagioliM
29W. GnontoM
23BetoF
6L. RanieriD
27C. NdourM
42C. Inao OulaïM
3R. DrăgușinD
30Franco MastantuonoM
20Álex JiménezD