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Match analysis

ItalySerie A

Inter vs Parma

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Tipster previews (5)

Pajimon

Inter vs Parma: Home Dominance Meets Away Struggles

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
38%
Odds
3.40
Model EV
+29.2%

The numbers don't lie, and this one's a big one. Inter's home record over the last 20 games is 15 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 2.55 goals scored per game. That's a team that comes home and does what it does. Parma, on the other hand, have won just 6 of their last 20 away…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Inter

5W 4D 1L1.90 pts/game

Parma

2W 3D 5L0.90 pts/game

Per game

Inter at home vs Parma away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+313Inter
Venue edge
+325Inter
Rating period
Inter versus Parma: long term Elo, before the match
InterHomeRatingParmaAway
Strength
1,849Overall1,537
1,817Match venue1,492
1,817At home1,475
1,775Away1,492
Attack & defence
1,736Attack1,425
1,633Defence1,590
1,733Home attack1,442
1,662Away attack1,419
1,623Home defence1,533
1,673Away defence1,561
Match profile
2,162Goal environment1,668
1,920Home goals1,478
1,742Away goals1,690
1,554Possession1,471
Specialist ratings
1,584Set-piece attack1,460
1,583Set-piece defence1,461
1,677Close games1,550
1,899Winning margin1,530

Match venue compares Inter at home with Parma away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting lineups

Lineups are not available yet. They are usually confirmed about an hour before kick-off.