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Match analysis

EnglandChampionship

Cardiff vs Wrexham

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Championship fixture.

Full time1:1HT 0–1

Match Timeline

3'
Kieffer Moore⚽
Normal Goal → Daniel Imray
33'
Kieffer Moore🟨
Yellow Card
54'
Dominic Hyam🟨
Yellow Card
62'
Ollie Tanner🔄
Substitution 1 → Rubin Colwill
63'
Chris Willock🔄
Substitution 2 → Joel Colwill
67'
Oliver Rathbone🔄
Substitution 1 → Ben Whiteman
72'
Nathan Broadhead🔄
Substitution 2 → Davis Keillor-Dunn
72'
Kieffer Moore🔄
Substitution 3 → Sam Smith
75'
Daniel Imray🔄
Substitution 4 → Ryan Longman
75'
Matty James🔄
Substitution 5 → George Dobson
80'
Cian Ashford🔄
Substitution 3 → Isaak Davies
80'
Calum Scanlon🔄
Substitution 4 → Ronan Kpakio
80'
Alex Robertson🔄
Substitution 5 → Callum Robinson
90+8'
Rubin Colwill⚽
Normal Goal

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal8
6Shots off Goal7
11Total Shots18
2Blocked Shots3
7Shots insidebox12
4Shots outsidebox6
9Fouls13
9Corner Kicks9
3Offsides1
67Ball Possession33
0Yellow Cards2
7Goalkeeper Saves2
542Total passes259
482Passes accurate204
89Passes %79
0.9expected_goals1.55
0.12goals_prevented0.12

Tipster previews (5)

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceLost

Cardiff vs Wrexham Preview & Prediction

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
62%
Odds
1.73
Model EV
+7.3%

Listen closely, you must. The path to a winning wager is not always straight, but the numbers speak loudly when we examine this Championship opener. Cardiff enters this fixture with the confidence of a seasoned master, while Wrexham arrives with a quieter spirit and a defense…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Cardiff

7W 1D 2L2.20 pts/game

Wrexham

4W 2D 4L1.40 pts/game

Per game

Cardiff at home vs Wrexham away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Championship

Overall edge
+135Wrexham
Venue edge
+97Wrexham
Rating period
Match snapshot
Cardiff versus Wrexham: long term Elo, before the match
CardiffHomeRatingWrexhamAway
Strength
1,414Overall1,549
1,436Match venue1,533
1,436At home1,527
1,442Away1,533
Attack & defence
1,422Attack1,520
1,484Defence1,489
1,391Home attack1,527
1,459Away attack1,491
1,527Home defence1,477
1,456Away defence1,517
Match profile
1,493Goal environment1,550
1,402Home goals1,555
1,592Away goals1,495
1,500Possession1,496
Specialist ratings
1,500Set-piece attack1,490
1,500Set-piece defence1,490
1,487Close games1,558
1,400Winning margin1,543

Match venue compares Cardiff at home with Wrexham away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

CardiffCardiffUnknown

Starting XI

1Nathan TrottG
38Perry NgD
4Gabriel OshoD
3Joel BaganD
23Calum ScanlonD
18Alex RobertsonM
11Ollie TannerM
8Jack MoylanM
45Cian AshfordM
16Chris WillockM
9Yousef SalechF

WrexhamWrexhamUnknown

Starting XI

22Anthony PattersonG
26Zak VynerD
5Dominic HyamD
2Callum DoyleD
30Daniel ImrayM
20Oliver RathboneM
37Matty JamesM
27Lewis O'BrienM
14George ThomasonM
19Kieffer MooreF
33Nathan BroadheadF