Match analysis
EnglandChampionship
Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Championship fixture.
Jeremy Sarmiento⚽
Oladapo Afolayan🟨Sean McLoughlin🟨Andri Guðjohnsen⚽Todd Cantwell⚽Sam Morsy🟨Myles Peart-Harris🔄Jeremy Sarmiento🔄Ryoya Morishita🔄Oladapo Afolayan🔄Andri Guðjohnsen🔄Sam Morsy🔄Todd Cantwell🟨Maximilian Arfsten🔄Sebastian Berhalter🔄Todd Cantwell🔄Will Lankshear🟨
Value VinnyLostThe pickUnder 2 5
The bookmakers have handed us a mathematical gift in this Championship opener. When you strip away the narrative and look strictly at the numbers, Blackburn vs Middlesbrough screams a low-scoring affair. Our goal expectancy model projects a combined λ of 1.88 (Blackburn 0.88…
Mr CertaintyLostThe pickUnder 2 5
Blackburn host Middlesbrough in a Championship clash that, on the surface, features two teams with contrasting recent trajectories but converging statistical realities. As a hyper-cautious analyst, I only step in when the mathematics and historical data align to provide a clear…
Yoda Mc Yoda FaceLostThe pickUnder 2 5
Listen closely, you must. The path to profit is narrow, and hedge your bets, you should. Today, Blackburn host Middlesbrough in the Championship, and the numbers whisper a quiet truth. Do or do not bet on goals, there is no try. The data guards the door, and it points toward a…
Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.
| BlackburnHome | Rating | MiddlesbroughAway |
|---|---|---|
| Strength | ||
| 1,477 | Overall | 1,559 |
| 1,448 | Match venue | 1,541 |
| 1,448 | At home | 1,567 |
| 1,499 | Away | 1,541 |
| Attack & defence | ||
| 1,410 | Attack | 1,485 |
| 1,547 | Defence | 1,593 |
| 1,387 | Home attack | 1,458 |
| 1,446 | Away attack | 1,536 |
| 1,558 | Home defence | 1,625 |
| 1,530 | Away defence | 1,528 |
| Match profile | ||
| 1,528 | Goal environment | 1,398 |
| 1,415 | Home goals | 1,272 |
| 1,613 | Away goals | 1,627 |
| 1,483 | Possession | 1,562 |
| Specialist ratings | ||
| 1,504 | Set-piece attack | 1,572 |
| 1,504 | Set-piece defence | 1,570 |
| 1,479 | Close games | 1,526 |
| 1,475 | Winning margin | 1,575 |
Match venue compares Blackburn at home with Middlesbrough away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.
Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.
BlackburnUnknownMiddlesbroughUnknown
