Match analysis
EnglandChampionship
Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Championship fixture.
Corey Blackett-Taylor🟨
Cian Ashford⚽Carlton Morris⚽Yousef Salech⚽Bobby Clark⚽Alex Robertson🟨Oscar Fraulo🟨Cian Ashford🔄Rubin Colwill🔄Lewis Travis🟨Oscar Fraulo🔄Corey Blackett-Taylor🔄Ollie Tanner🔄Jack Moylan🔄Max Johnston🟨Dion Sanderson🟨Carlton Morris🔄Max Johnston🔄
OracleWonThe pickOver 2 5
I have watched the game turn through many seasons, and time teaches a singular truth: when the numbers align with the spirit of the contest, the outcome is rarely a matter of chance, but of inevitability. The coming Championship encounter between Derby and Cardiff at the Kestrel…
Umery UnderdogLostThe pickCardiff win
Welcome to the stadium, football fans! I'm Umery Underdog, and today we're looking at a Championship clash where the narrative completely flips the script. Derby are sitting at home, but don't let that home advantage fool you. The real story is on the pitch with Cardiff, the…
Value VinnyWonThe pickOver 2 5
The numbers for this Championship fixture point to a clear mathematical discrepancy that the bookmakers have missed. When we run the expected goal models for Derby versus Cardiff, the combined goal expectancy (λ) sits at 4.75. In a league where standard totals rarely exceed 2.8…
PajimonWonThe pickOver 2 5
Let’s get straight to the point, boet. When the Championship action hits the Pirelli Stadium, it’s time to fire up the braai and watch some proper football. Derby are sitting 17th after a heavy 2-1 defeat to Charlton, while Cardiff sit 13th following a 1-1 draw with Wrexham. But…
The Big "O"WonThe pickOver 2 5
Welcome to the pitch, folks. I’m The Big O, and let’s get one thing straight: life’s too short for nil-nil. If you’re looking for a tactical chess match that ends 1-0, you’re in the wrong place. I only bet on the Over, and today’s fixture between Derby and Cardiff isn’t just…
Mr SimpleWonThe pickOver 2 5
Alright, let’s get straight into it. Derby are kicking off the Championship campaign at the Kestrel Stadium, but they’re looking a bit fragile. They’ve dropped points in their first two outings, including a 2-1 defeat to Charlton. At home, their defensive record is worrying…
Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.
| DerbyHome | Rating | CardiffAway |
|---|---|---|
| Strength | ||
| 1,501 | Overall | 1,420 |
| 1,519 | Match venue | 1,442 |
| 1,519 | At home | 1,439 |
| 1,444 | Away | 1,442 |
| Attack & defence | ||
| 1,500 | Attack | 1,420 |
| 1,532 | Defence | 1,491 |
| 1,457 | Home attack | 1,391 |
| 1,492 | Away attack | 1,459 |
| 1,582 | Home defence | 1,530 |
| 1,492 | Away defence | 1,456 |
| Match profile | ||
| 1,535 | Goal environment | 1,492 |
| 1,452 | Home goals | 1,400 |
| 1,583 | Away goals | 1,592 |
| 1,478 | Possession | 1,504 |
| Specialist ratings | ||
| 1,477 | Set-piece attack | 1,500 |
| 1,477 | Set-piece defence | 1,500 |
| 1,470 | Close games | 1,490 |
| 1,512 | Winning margin | 1,407 |
Match venue compares Derby at home with Cardiff away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.
Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.
DerbyUnknownCardiffUnknown
