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Match analysis

EnglandChampionship

Millwall vs Wrexham

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Championship fixture.

Full time0:3HT 0–1

Match Timeline

18'
Casper De Norre🟨
Yellow Card
28'
Z. Sturge⚽
Own Goal
36'
Ben Whiteman🟨
Yellow Card
43'
C. De Norre🔄
Substitution 1 → C. Neghli
52'
K. Moore⚽
Normal Goal → J. Windass
56'
Lyndon Dykes🟨
Yellow Card
63'
J. Coburn🔄
Substitution 2 → Z. Lovelace
64'
E. Baggott🔄
Substitution 3 → D. Mazou-Sacko
67'
I. Kabore🔄
Substitution 1 → D. Imray
67'
J. Windass🔄
Substitution 2 → O. Rathbone
69'
J. Ekomie⚽
Normal Goal → D. Imray
73'
K. Moore🔄
Substitution 3 → S. Smith
74'
J. Metcalfe🔄
Substitution 4 → J. Osei-Tutu
74'
D. Kelly🔄
Substitution 5 → A. Massey
76'
J. Ekomie🔄
Substitution 4 → R. Longman

Match Statistics

0Shots on Goal3
3Shots off Goal3
4Total Shots9
1Blocked Shots3
1Shots insidebox8
3Shots outsidebox1
11Fouls14
1Corner Kicks2
0Offsides1
39Ball Possession61
2Yellow Cards1
1Goalkeeper Saves0
350Total passes566
263Passes accurate473
75Passes %84
0.23expected_goals0.88
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (4)

Mr SimpleWon

Millwall Fortress vs Wrexham Struggles

The pickBTTS No

Chance
53%
Odds
2.00
Model EV
+6.0%

Alright lads, gather 'round. Let's have a proper look at this Championship clash between Millwall and Wrexham. If you’re looking for a bit of graft and some straight-talking value, you’ve come to the right place. We’re looking at a match where the "how" matters just as much as…

PajimonLost

Millwall Set to Feast on Wrexham at Home

The pickMillwall win

Chance
65%
Odds
2.10
Model EV
+36.5%

Listen up, you lot. We’re looking at a clash that’s all about who’s going to bring the heat to the pitch. If you’re looking for a winner, you’ve come to the right place because the numbers are screaming one way, and that is Millwall taking the spoils at home. Millwall are…

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceLost

Millwall's Fortress vs Wrexham's Struggle

The pickMillwall win

Chance
60%
Odds
2.10
Model EV
+26.0%

Strong at home, Millwall is. A fortress, their ground becomes. To the bottom of the table, Wrexham travels, where goals are scarce. 0.40 goals per game away, they manage. A difficult path, this is. To see the truth, one must look at the numbers. Millwall has maintained a 100%…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Millwall

5W 2D 3L1.70 pts/game

Wrexham

2W 4D 4L1.00 pts/game

Per game

Millwall at home vs Wrexham away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Championship

Overall edge
+78Millwall
Venue edge
+31Millwall
Rating period
Match snapshot
Millwall versus Wrexham: long term Elo, before the match
MillwallHomeRatingWrexhamAway
Strength
1,599Overall1,521
1,561Match venue1,530
1,561At home1,506
1,571Away1,530
Attack & defence
1,508Attack1,504
1,609Defence1,486
1,484Home attack1,513
1,475Away attack1,488
1,592Home defence1,471
1,596Away defence1,517
Match profile
1,175Goal environment1,548
1,377Home goals1,555
1,298Away goals1,493
1,497Possession1,498
Specialist ratings
1,526Set-piece attack1,495
1,525Set-piece defence1,495
1,590Close games1,535
1,608Winning margin1,515

Match venue compares Millwall at home with Wrexham away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

MillwallMillwall1:1

Starting XI

15M. CrocombeG
12E. BaggottD
24C. De NorreM
3Z. SturgeM
13L. DykesF
5J. CooperD
14J. Metcalfe4:2
19J. CoburnF
6C. TaylorD
16D. KellyM
17M. SykesM

WrexhamWrexham1:1

Starting XI

22A. PattersonG
2C. DoyleD
3J. EkomieM
27L. O'BrienF
19K. MooreF
5D. HyamD
8B. WhitemanM
10J. WindassF
4M. CleworthD
37M. JamesM
12I. KaboreM