Skip to main content

Match analysis

EnglandChampionship

QPR vs Cardiff

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Championship fixture.

Full time2:1HT 1–0

Match Timeline

36'
R. Burrell⚽
Normal Goal
46'
C. Ashford🔄
Substitution 1 → C. Willock
46'
C. Scanlon🔄
Substitution 2 → K. Bielik
47'
Ollie Tanner🟨
Yellow Card
53'
R. Burrell⚽
Normal Goal → R. Edwards
71'
N. Madsen🔄
Substitution 1 → J. Varane
72'
G. Kamara🔄
Substitution 2 → D. Cirkin
72'
A. S. Mbengue🔄
Substitution 3 → K. Adamson
72'
T. Lamptey🔄
Substitution 4 → J. Clarke-Salter
75'
P. Ng⚽
Normal Goal → O. Tanner
77'
Perry Ng🟨
Yellow Card
80'
J. Moylan🔄
Substitution 3 → J. Colwill
81'
A. Lloyd🔄
Substitution 5 → I. Chair
89'
O. Tanner🔄
Substitution 4 → I. Davies
89'
A. Robertson🔄
Substitution 5 → C. Robinson

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal3
9Shots off Goal4
20Total Shots9
7Blocked Shots2
17Shots insidebox5
3Shots outsidebox4
10Fouls12
3Corner Kicks4
2Offsides0
37Ball Possession63
0Yellow Cards2
2Goalkeeper Saves2
342Total passes583
270Passes accurate515
79Passes %88
2.09expected_goals0.6
-0.45goals_prevented-0.45

Tipster previews (4)

PajimonWon

QPR to Feast on Cardiff's Defensive Woes

The pickQPR win

Chance
60%
Odds
1.90
Model EV
+14.0%

Listen up, because we’re looking at a proper feast today. QPR are currently sitting in 4th place in the Championship, and they are looking absolutely hungry for more. They have smashed through their last 10 games with a massive 70% win rate, showing they have the momentum to…

Value VinnyWon

QPR vs Cardiff | The Math Points to a Goal-Fest

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
78%
Odds
2.00
Model EV
+56.0%

The Championship is often a grind, but the numbers for this QPR vs Cardiff fixture are screaming for a high-scoring affair. QPR enters this match in 4th place, boasting a solid 70% win rate over their last 10 games. They’ve been defensively disciplined, conceding only 0.80 goals…

The Big "O"Won

QPR vs Cardiff: A Goal-Fest in the Making?

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
75%
Odds
2.00
Model EV
+50.0%

Listen up, football fans! If you're looking for a snooze-fest, you're in the wrong place. I’m The Big O, and my mantra is simple: Life’s too short for nil-nil draws. We want action, we want drama, and most importantly, we want goals. When I look at the data for QPR vs Cardiff…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

QPR

7W 3D 0L2.40 pts/game

Cardiff

4W 3D 3L1.50 pts/game

Per game

QPR at home vs Cardiff away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Championship

Overall edge
+45QPR
Venue edge
+8QPR
Rating period
Match snapshot
QPR versus Cardiff: long term Elo, before the match
QPRHomeRatingCardiffAway
Strength
1,472Overall1,427
1,453Match venue1,445
1,453At home1,443
1,497Away1,445
Attack & defence
1,464Attack1,439
1,489Defence1,482
1,477Home attack1,404
1,441Away attack1,469
1,470Home defence1,524
1,527Away defence1,451
Match profile
1,590Goal environment1,502
1,730Home goals1,405
1,360Away goals1,597
1,481Possession1,510
Specialist ratings
1,492Set-piece attack1,510
1,492Set-piece defence1,509
1,477Close games1,488
1,474Winning margin1,416

Match venue compares QPR at home with Cardiff away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

QPRQPR1:1

Starting XI

1P. CharlesG
48T. LampteyD
14K. SaitoM
16R. BurrellF
5R. EdwardsD
24N. MadsenM
15A. LloydF
3J. DunneD
18G. KamaraM
27A. S. MbengueD
20H. ValeM

CardiffCardiff1:1

Starting XI

1N. TrottG
23C. ScanlonD
45C. AshfordM
8J. MoylanM
9Y. SalechF
3J. BaganD
18A. RobertsonM
10R. ColwillM
4G. OshoD
11O. TannerM
38P. NgD