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Match analysis

EnglandChampionship

West Ham vs Derby

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Championship fixture.

Full time3:0HT 1–0

Match Timeline

6'
Joel Piroe⚽
Normal Goal → Taty Castellanos
21'
Alex Mowatt🟨
Yellow Card
22'
Rhian Brewster🔄
Substitution 1 → D. Ozoh
62'
Oscar Fraulo🔄
Substitution 2 → Bobby Clark
62'
Henrik Wendel Meister🔄
Substitution 3 → Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
64'
Taty Castellanos🔄
Substitution 1 → Lewis Orford
71'
Ryan Hedges🔄
Substitution 4 → Mohammed Fuseini
71'
Ryan Nyambe🔄
Substitution 5 → max johnston
77'
Mohammed Fuseini🟨
Yellow Card
77'
Manor Solomon🔄
Substitution 2 → Edvin Austbö
77'
Ollie Scarles🔄
Substitution 3 → Adama Boiro
86'
Alex Mowatt🔄
Substitution 6 → Corey Blackett-Taylor
87'
Edvin Austbö⚽
Normal Goal
90+1'
Divine Mukasa🔄
Substitution 4 → Felipe Morato
90+1'
Jarrod Bowen🔄
Substitution 5 → Mohamadou Kante
90+5'
Mohamadou Kante⚽
Normal Goal → Edvin Austbö

Match Statistics

388Passes accurate340
17Shots insidebox2
3Shots outsidebox2
3Blocked Shots1
16Free Kicks6
7Shots on Goal0
10Shots off Goal3
1Offsides0
458Total passes421
20Total Shots4
5Corner Kicks6
0Goalkeeper Saves4
0Yellow Cards2
6Fouls16
0Red Cards0
52Ball Possession48

Tipster previews (2)

The Big "O"Won

West Ham vs Derby: A Goal-Fest in the Making

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
65%
Odds
1.73
Model EV
+12.4%

Listen up, because life is far too short for the snooze-fest of a 0-0 draw. When I look at this fixture, I don't see a tactical stalemate; I see a buffet of goals waiting to be served. We’re heading to West Ham’s home turf, and if there’s one thing they know how to do, it’s put…

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceWon

West Ham vs Derby: A Path of Goals

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
75%
Odds
1.73
Model EV
+29.8%

Deep into the data, I have looked. A path of goals, the numbers reveal. West Ham, at home, a formidable force they are. 2.67 goals per game they strike into the net, a steady rhythm of offense that defines their home presence. Against Derby, who travel with a win rate of but…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

West Ham

4W 5D 1L1.70 pts/game

Derby

2W 2D 6L0.80 pts/game

Per game

West Ham at home vs Derby away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Championship

Overall edge
+127West Ham
Venue edge
+92West Ham
Rating period
Match snapshot
West Ham versus Derby: long term Elo, before the match
West HamHomeRatingDerbyAway
Strength
1,626Overall1,499
1,550Match venue1,457
1,550At home1,503
1,584Away1,457
Attack & defence
1,585Attack1,497
1,559Defence1,519
1,544Home attack1,449
1,546Away attack1,500
1,528Home defence1,553
1,561Away defence1,504
Match profile
1,558Goal environment1,540
1,535Home goals1,458
1,523Away goals1,582
1,506Possession1,475
Specialist ratings
1,508Set-piece attack1,467
1,508Set-piece defence1,468
1,559Close games1,471
1,651Winning margin1,505

Match venue compares West Ham at home with Derby away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

West HamWest Ham1:1

Starting XI

1M. HermansenG
30O. ScarlesD
10M. SolomonM
11V. CastellanosF
3M. KilmanD
7A. EngelsM
9J. PiroeF
15K. MavropanosD
14D. MukasaM
34J. VeltmanD
20J. BowenM

DerbyDerby1:1

Starting XI

1J. Widell ZetterströmG
18C. TaylorD
29O. FrauloM
10R. BrewsterM
19H. MeisterF
28D. SandersonD
20A. MowattM
11S. SzmodicsM
6S. LangåsD
26R. HedgesM
24R. NyambeD