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Match analysis

EnglandChampionship

Preston vs Millwall

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Championship fixture.

Tipster previews (5)

Oracle

The Wisdom of the Road: Millwall's Journey to Preston

The pickMillwall win

Chance
48%
Odds
2.60
Model EV
+24.8%

There is a truth that only reveals itself to those who have watched the game long enough. It is this: a team that travels well is a team that has found its rhythm, and that rhythm does not fade when the ground beneath their feet changes. I have seen many sides falter at home…

Value Vinny

Millwall's Away Record Points to a Win at Preston

The pickMillwall win

Chance
48%
Odds
2.60
Model EV
+24.8%

The numbers don't lie, and in this one they're pointing in a very clear direction. Millwall's away record over the last 20 games reads 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses — 1.7 points per game — while Preston's home record over the same span is 5 wins, 3 draws and 12 losses at 0.9…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Preston

1W 2D 7L0.50 pts/game

Millwall

4W 2D 4L1.40 pts/game

Per game

Preston at home vs Millwall away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Championship

Overall edge
+173Millwall
Venue edge
+100Millwall
Rating period
Preston versus Millwall: long term Elo, before the match
PrestonHomeRatingMillwallAway
Strength
1,394Overall1,567
1,455Match venue1,555
1,455At home1,553
1,437Away1,555
Attack & defence
1,441Attack1,517
1,438Defence1,564
1,438Home attack1,492
1,448Away attack1,483
1,479Home defence1,574
1,477Away defence1,566
Match profile
1,393Goal environment1,197
1,485Home goals1,388
1,408Away goals1,308
1,470Possession1,486
Specialist ratings
1,453Set-piece attack1,488
1,453Set-piece defence1,489
1,452Close games1,587
1,378Winning margin1,562

Match venue compares Preston at home with Millwall away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting lineups

Lineups are not available yet. They are usually confirmed about an hour before kick-off.