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Match analysis

SpainLa Liga

Malaga vs Espanyol

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this La Liga fixture.

Full time1:1HT 0–1

Match Timeline

13'
Bryan Zaragoza⚽
Normal Goal → Francisco Javier Hernandez Coarasa
24'
Francisco Javier Hernandez Coarasa🟨
Yellow Card
28'
Carlos Puga🟨
Yellow Card
28'
Bryan Zaragoza🟨
Yellow Card
41'
Carlos Ruiz Rubio🟨
Yellow Card
57'
Francisco Javier Hernandez Coarasa🔄
Substitution 1 → Urko Gonzalez
60'
Omar El Hilali🟨
Yellow Card
62'
Joaquín Muñoz🔄
Substitution 3 → Carlos Dotor
62'
Carlos Puga🔄
Substitution 1 → Adam Aznou
62'
Rafael Rodríguez Ruiz🔄
Substitution 2 → Adrian Nino
66'
Carlos Dotor🟨
Yellow Card
73'
Bryan Zaragoza🔄
Substitution 2 → Álex Calatrava Torrado
74'
Fernando Calero🔄
Substitution 4 → Izan Merino
82'
Pablo Martínez Andrés🔄
Substitution 5 → Haitam Abaida
82'
Tyrhys Dolan🔄
Substitution 5 → Marcos Fernández
82'
Eduardo Expósito Jaén🔄
Substitution 4 → Pere Milla
82'
Roberto Fernández Jaén🔄
Substitution 3 → Roger Hinojo
84'
Clemens Riedel🟨
Yellow Card
87'
Roger Hinojo🟨
Yellow Card
89'
Adam Aznou🟨
Yellow Card
90+3'
Adrian Nino⚽
Normal Goal → Rafael Garrido Hierro

Match Statistics

0.63expected_goals1.05
428Passes accurate278
9Shots insidebox6
6Shots outsidebox3
2Blocked Shots3
14Free Kicks10
7Shots on Goal4
2Goalkeeper Saves6
6Shots off Goal2
2Offsides1
487Total passes351
15Total Shots9
4Yellow Cards5
8Corner Kicks2
10Fouls14
0Red Cards0
59Ball Possession41

Tipster previews (6)

Umery Underdog

Malaga vs Espanyol: The Little Dog's Home Edge

The pickMalaga win

Chance
38%
Odds
2.80
Model EV
+6.4%

Right, let's talk about the little dog here. Malaga are the slight underdog in this one — the market has them at 2.8 against Espanyol's 2.82 — and I've got a soft spot for exactly that kind of overlooked side. And the numbers at their ground genuinely back them up. Over 20 home…

Yoda Mc Yoda Face

Malaga vs Espanyol: Both Sides Find the Net

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
60%
Odds
1.80
Model EV
+8.0%

May the stats be with you, friends. For this is a match where the numbers whisper a clear truth, and I shall listen to them, I do. Malaga and Espanyol meet at Malaga's ground on 9 October, and the evidence from both sides' venue records points in one direction: both teams will…

Mr Simple

Malaga vs Espanyol Preview: La Liga on 9 October

The pickEspanyol win

Chance
39%
Odds
2.82
Model EV
+10.0%

Malaga host Espanyol on 9 October in a La Liga fixture that pits two sides in a tricky run of form against each other. The question is whether Malaga's home record can hold up, or whether the visitors' edge on current form will tell. Malaga have been in real trouble of late…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Malaga

1W 4D 5L0.70 pts/game

Espanyol

2W 3D 5L0.90 pts/game

Per game

Malaga at home vs Espanyol away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within La Liga

Overall edge
+126Espanyol
Venue edge
Level
Rating period
Match snapshot
Malaga versus Espanyol: long term Elo, before the match
MalagaHomeRatingEspanyolAway
Strength
1,352Overall1,478
1,446Match venue1,446
1,446At home1,506
1,352Away1,446
Attack & defence
1,349Attack1,473
1,509Defence1,534
1,406Home attack1,463
1,341Away attack1,479
1,536Home defence1,537
1,509Away defence1,512
Match profile
1,415Goal environment1,595
1,492Home goals1,517
1,423Away goals1,578
1,500Possession1,472
Specialist ratings
1,505Set-piece attack1,472
1,504Set-piece defence1,473
1,369Close games1,466
1,344Winning margin1,488

Match venue compares Malaga at home with Espanyol away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

MalagaMalaga1:1

Starting XI

1Alfonso HerreroG
31RafitaD
14Rafa RodríguezM
11Joaquín MuñozM
9ChupeF
15Ángel RecioD
18Pablo MartínezM
20Fernando CaleroD
22Dani LorenzoM
3PugaD
10David LarrubiaM

EspanyolEspanyol1:1

Starting XI

1Ángel FortuñoG
3Q. HartmanD
10Pol LozanoM
15Bryan ZaragozaM
9Roberto FernándezF
6L. CabreraD
8Edu ExpósitoM
28Javier HernandezM
5C. RiedelD
24T. DolanM
23O. El HilaliD