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Match analysis

ItalySerie B

Empoli vs Palermo

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie B fixture.

Full time2:4HT 0–0

Match Timeline

45'
Simone Romagnoli🔄
Substitution 2 → Karim Zedadka
45'
Filippo Bandinelli🔄
Substitution 1 → Lapo Deli
47'
Edoardo Saporiti
Penalty confirmed
50'
Edoardo Saporiti
Penalty
57'
Joel Pohjanpalo⚽
Normal Goal → Mattia Bani
57'
Jacopo Seghetti🟨
Yellow Card
65'
Antonio Palumbo⚽
Normal Goal → Dennis Johnsen
69'
Dennis Johnsen⚽
Normal Goal → Antonio Palumbo
71'
Niccolo Corrado🔄
Substitution 4 → Steven Shpendi
71'
Edoardo Biondini🔄
Substitution 3 → Duccio Degli Innocenti
75'
Filippo·Ranocchia🟨
Yellow Card
76'
Steven Shpendi
Var
79'
Bogdan Popov⚽
Normal Goal
80'
Antonio Palumbo🔄
Substitution 4 → Luca Mazzitelli
80'
Jacopo Segre🔄
Substitution 1 → Hernani
80'
Joel Pohjanpalo🔄
Substitution 3 → Alessandro Gabrielloni
80'
Filippo·Ranocchia🔄
Substitution 2 → Nahuel Estévez
85'
Dennis Johnsen🔄
Substitution 5 → Patryk Peda
88'
Tommaso Cassandro⚽
Normal Goal → Alessandro Gabrielloni
89'
Joseph Ceesay🔄
Substitution 5 → Matteo Egan

Match Statistics

1.39expected_goals4.84
305Passes accurate482
5Shots insidebox23
1Shots outsidebox11
2Blocked Shots9
11Free Kicks8
2Shots on Goal12
8Goalkeeper Saves0
2Shots off Goal13
2Offsides3
381Total passes555
6Total Shots34
1Yellow Cards1
1Corner Kicks5
10Fouls12
0Red Cards0
41Ball Possession59

Tipster previews (3)

Value Vinny

Palermo's Form Edge Over Empoli

The pickPalermo win

Chance
55%
Odds
1.98
Model EV
+8.9%

Palermo walk into this one with the kind of form that makes bookmakers sweat. Four wins and a draw from their last five — 14 goals scored, 7 conceded, 2.8 goals per game — and that's not a fluke. Stretch it back to ten and it's seven wins, two draws, one loss, 2.3 points per…

Mr Simple

Palermo's Strong Form Meets Empoli's Slump

The pickPalermo win

Chance
56%
Odds
1.98
Model EV
+10.9%

Palermo arrive at Empoli's ground riding a wave that would make any bookmaker reach for the cold water. Four wins and a draw in their last five — 14 goals scored, just 7 conceded — and if you stretch it back to ten games, it's seven wins, two draws, one loss. That's 2.3 points…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Empoli

3W 4D 3L1.30 pts/game

Palermo

7W 2D 1L2.30 pts/game

Per game

Empoli at home vs Palermo away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie B

Overall edge
+185Palermo
Venue edge
+40Empoli
Rating period
Match snapshot
Empoli versus Palermo: long term Elo, before the match
EmpoliHomeRatingPalermoAway
Strength
1,470Overall1,655
1,565Match venue1,525
1,565At home1,664
1,475Away1,525
Attack & defence
1,450Attack1,551
1,525Defence1,588
1,494Home attack1,578
1,465Away attack1,492
1,570Home defence1,619
1,500Away defence1,534
Match profile
1,627Goal environment1,542
1,573Home goals1,498
1,553Away goals1,543
1,488Possession1,498
Specialist ratings
1,502Set-piece attack1,506
1,502Set-piece defence1,506
1,484Close games1,590
1,466Winning margin1,665

Match venue compares Empoli at home with Palermo away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

EmpoliEmpoli1:1

Starting XI

12J. SeghettiG
33C. CauzD
91N. CorradoM
10E. SaporitiF
6S. RomagnoliD
39E. BiondiniM
77B. PopovF
25M. CurtoD
23F. BandinelliM
8L. MagninoM
15J. CeesayM

PalermoPalermo1:1

Starting XI

14M. FortinG
3T. AugelloD
10F. RanocchiaM
17D. JohnsenM
20J. PohjanpaloF
32P. CeccaroniD
8J. SegreM
5A. PalumboM
13M. BaniD
9D. VavassoriM
84T. CassandroD