Mon, 7 Sept 2026, 19:00
Full Time

Match Timeline

13'
L. Bovo🟨
Yellow Card
33'
S. Pugliese🟨
Yellow Card
37'
L. Abreu
Normal Goal → P. Virgilio
40'
P. Virgilio
Normal Goal
46'
M. Mancuso🔄
Substitution 1 → T. Fumagalli
46'
G. Re Cecconi🔄
Substitution 2 → R. Agbonifo
69'
M. Mosconi🔄
Substitution 3 → J. Zuberek
70'
L. Bovo🔄
Substitution 4 → Charlys
71'
P. Virgilio🔄
Substitution 1 → L. Nocerino
72'
R. Agbonifo
Normal Goal → J. Zuberek
76'
E. Esposito🔄
Substitution 2 → M. Kanoute
77'
D. Franco🔄
Substitution 3 → S. Maselli
81'
M. Kanoute
Normal Goal
84'
J. Iddrissou🔄
Substitution 5 → M. Lavelli
86'
S. Pugliese🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Scravaglieri
86'
L. Abreu🔄
Substitution 5 → G. Coppola
89'
T. Fumagalli🟨
Yellow Card
90'
L. Bovio🟨
Yellow Card
90+2'
L. Bovio🟥
Red Card
90+5'
M. Kanoute
Normal Goal → M. Scravaglieri
90+8'
S. Maselli🟥
Red Card

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

AZ Picerno
AZ Picerno
Form: D-W-W-W-D
Inter U23
Inter U23
Form: D-W-D-D-W
Record
5 W
3 D
2 L
4 W
3 D
3 L
Goals Per Game
1.5
Scored
vs
1.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
vs
0.9
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
30%
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
70%
BTTS
50%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.6
Away:1.4
Conceded
Home:0.8
Away:1.2
Scored
Home:0.8
Away:1.2
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:0.8

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1540
Average
1499
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1542
↑ Momentum (+2)
1498
↓ Momentum (-1)
Expected Outcome
38%
Home Win
32%
Draw
30%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1465
Attack
1497
1570
Defence
1504
Recent Form
1471
Attack
1496
1588
Defence
1503
Post-Match Changes
+12
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

AZ Picerno vs Inter U23: The Leaders Look Strong at Home
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:2.05
Expected Value:+23.0%
Confidence:7

Right off the bat, we’ve got a bit of a mismatch on paper here in Serie C - Girone C. AZ Picerno are currently sitting pretty at the top of the table, having scooped up 6 points from their opening two fixtures. They’ve been clinical, picking up two wins and showing some real backbone in their defensive setup. When they’re playing on their home turf, they’re a proper unit—they haven't tasted defeat in their last five home games, maintaining a solid 60% win rate. Let's look at the numbers, shall we? At home, Picerno are only letting in an average of 0.80 goals per game. That’s some proper grafting in the backline. They’ve shown they can put goals past opponents too, averaging 1.60 at home. They’re coming off a decent run, including a 2-0 win over Scafatese and a 3-2 victory against Savoia. They aren't just winning; they're making it difficult for the opposition to stay in the game. On the other side of the pitch, we’ve got Inter U23. They’re sitting in 6th place with 4 points. They’ve had some mixed results, but they aren't exactly easy to beat on the road. They’ve managed a 50% win rate in their last six away fixtures, and they’re averaging 1.17 goals scored on the move. However, their points trend is slightly on the decline, whereas Picerno’s points trend is moving in the right direction. When you weigh up the two, Picerno’s home form and their position at the top of the table give them the edge. Inter U23 are capable of a result, but Picerno’s defensive stability at home (conceding just 0.80) makes them very hard to break down. The bookies are offering a bit of value here with the home win at 2.05. Given Picerno's unbeaten home streak and their superior league position, this looks like a solid spot to put your money. Key Points: - AZ Picerno are 1st in the table with 2 wins from 2 games. - Picerno are unbeaten in their last 5 home games (60% win rate). - Picerno concede a low 0.80 goals per game at home. - Inter U23 have a 50% away win rate but a declining points trend. - The home win at 2.05 offers a significant edge given Picerno's current form. The best value here is on a home win for AZ Picerno.

Read Full Preview →

📝 Match Preview

AZ Picerno Look to Maintain Early Season Dominance
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:2.05
Expected Value:+12.8%
Confidence:7

AZ Picerno enters this Serie C - Girone C clash in peak form, currently perched in 2nd place after securing perfect results in their opening two fixtures. The hosts have established a formidable reputation early on, combining an efficient offensive output with a disciplined defensive structure. Their home record is particularly telling, boasting a 60% win rate and a low goals-conceded average of 0.80 per game. This suggests a team that knows how to control the environment and stifle opposition momentum. Inter U23, while currently sitting in 6th place, presents a more modest profile. Although they have shown some resilience on the road—winning 50% of their last six away games—their scoring rate remains a point of concern. They have averaged just 1.00 goal per game over their last 10 matches, often struggling to find the back of the net with consistency. When facing a side as organized as AZ Picerno, this lack of offensive firepower could prove costly. From a mathematical perspective, the goal expectancy for this match is relatively tight, with AZ Picerno expected to produce 1.22 goals compared to Inter U23's 0.98. This indicates a low-scoring affair where the slight edge in quality and home-field advantage will be magnified. AZ Picerno’s ability to maintain a clean sheet (30% of the time) and their superior league standing provide multiple confirmatory signals for a home victory. Value Vinny’s analysis identifies a clear discrepancy between the bookmakers' pricing and the statistical reality. At 2.05, the market is slightly underestimating the probability of an AZ Picerno win, given their 100% win rate so far this season and their dominance at home. We are looking for a disciplined performance from the hosts to secure all three points and keep their ascent at the top of the table on track. Key Points: - AZ Picerno is in 2nd place with a 100% win rate in their opening two matches. - AZ Picerno holds a 60% win rate at home, conceding only 0.80 goals per game. - Inter U23 averages a low 1.00 goal per game over their last 10 matches. - Goal expectancy (1.22 vs 0.98) suggests a tight, low-scoring affair where home dominance is key. Recommended Bet: HOME_WIN

Read Full Preview →

📝 Match Preview

AZ Picerno vs Inter U23 - Home Fortress Ready
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:2.05
Expected Value:+23.0%
Confidence:7

Listen up, because we aren't here to talk about salads or anything soft. We're here for the meat of the action—football and winning. AZ Picerno is looking absolutely lethal right now, sitting comfortably in 2nd place with a perfect record of 2 wins from 2 games. They’ve been putting on a show, and when they play at home, they are a proper wall. In their last 5 home fixtures, they haven't tasted a single defeat, securing a 60% win rate. They’re scoring at a solid clip of 1.60 goals per game at home while keeping things tight in the back, conceding only 0.80. Look at the recent form. AZ Picerno just dismantled Scafatese 2-0 and put Savoia away with a 3-2 victory. They are showing the ability to both grind out clean sheets and put on an offensive display when needed. They are currently riding a wave of momentum that is hard to ignore, especially with a perfect start to the season. This is the kind of form you want to see before placing your wagers. On the other side, we have Inter U23. They aren't exactly in the "don't touch" category, but they aren't looking like a powerhouse either. They sit in 6th place with 4 points, and their away form is a bit of a mixed bag. While they managed a 2-1 win against Catania, their overall goal output is much lower, averaging just 1.00 goals per game across their last 10 outings. They've struggled to find that consistent rhythm, and facing a side like AZ Picerno—who are currently riding a wave of momentum—is going to be a massive uphill battle. Inter U23's recent 1-1 draw against Team Altamura shows they can hold their own, but they lack the clinical edge required to break down a disciplined home side. The numbers tell a clear story. AZ Picerno’s home dominance combined with Inter U23’s lack of consistent scoring power makes the home side the heavy favorite. We’re looking at a team that knows how to close out games and a visitor that might struggle to break through the defensive line. This isn't about "maybe"; it's about the facts. AZ Picerno has the form, the home advantage, and the momentum. It’s time to back the home side to keep the winning streak alive. Key Points: - AZ Picerno is in 2nd place with a perfect 2-0-0 start to the season. - AZ Picerno has a 60% win rate in their last 5 home games. - Inter U23 averages only 1.00 goals per game over their last 10 matches. - AZ Picerno concedes only 0.80 goals per game at home. - The home side's momentum and defensive solidity make them the clear favorites. Bet: Home Win

Read Full Preview →