Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Ligue 1 clash between Brest and PSG. The table tells us one story - PSG sitting pretty in 2nd with 17 points, while Brest are down in 12th with just 9. But football's not played on paper, is it?

Brest have been a bit of a mixed bag recently. They had that cracking 4-1 win over Nice at home, and a decent 2-0 victory at Angers. But they've also had some proper stinkers, like losing 1-2 at home to Paris FC. They're averaging 1.7 goals per game, which isn't too shabby, but they're also letting in 1.6. That's what I call entertainment value!

PSG, on the other hand, have been absolutely flying. Seven wins in their last ten, and get this - they just put SEVEN past Bayer Leverkusen in the Champions League! That's not just winning, that's making a statement. They're averaging 2.8 goals per game, which is some going by anyone's standards.

But here's where it gets interesting - PSG have had a couple of draws recently (3-3 with Strasbourg, 1-1 with Lille), and they did lose 1-0 to Marseille. So they're not completely untouchable.

The head-to-head makes for brutal reading for Brest fans though. Nine meetings, zero wins for Brest, one draw, and EIGHT wins for PSG. The last time they met, PSG put SEVEN past them. That's the sort of result that gives defenders nightmares.

Looking at the stats, PSG are averaging 3.2 goals per game away from home, while Brest are scoring 1.8 at home but also conceding 1.4. Both teams seem to find the net regularly - Brest have both teams scoring in 70% of their recent games, PSG in 50%.

The odds are making PSG heavy favorites at 1.44, which seems about right given the gulf in class and that H2H record. But sometimes the obvious bet isn't the value bet.

Key Points:

• PSG are 2nd in the table with 17 points, Brest are 12th with 9 points

• PSG have won 7 of their last 10 games, including a 7-2 thrashing of Bayer Leverkusen

• Brest have scored 17 goals in their last 10 games (1.7 per game)

• Head-to-head: PSG have won 8 of 9 meetings against Brest

• PSG average 3.2 goals per game away from home

• Brest have both teams scoring in 70% of their recent matches

Both teams have been finding the net regularly, and while PSG are clear favorites, Brest have shown they can score at home. With PSG's recent defensive wobbles (they've let in 11 goals in 10 games) and Brest's attacking intent, I'm backing both teams to get on the scoresheet.