Mansfield Town vs Plymouth Prediction

Stags vs Argyle: Table vs Form Clash

Preview

Right then, let's have a proper look at this little cracker down at Field Mill. On paper, you'd think Mansfield have this sorted - sitting pretty in 8th with 19 points while Plymouth are propping up the table in 22nd with just 13. But football's not played on paper, is it?

Take a gander at the recent form and it's a completely different story. Mansfield have been drawing for fun recently - five draws in their last ten games, including three 1-1 stalemates in their last four outings. They're not losing many, but they're not winning much either. It's like they've perfected the art of not getting beaten.

Plymouth, on the other hand, have been banging them in for fun. Two-point-two goals per game over their last ten matches, including a proper 4-0 hammering of Burton Albion and a 6-2 cup win. They've won half their away games this season, which ain't bad for a team sitting bottom of the league.

Here's the rub though - Plymouth have just lost two on the bounce, getting blanked 2-0 by Exeter and losing 1-2 at home to AFC Wimbledon. Has the bubble burst? Meanwhile, Mansfield keep grinding out results, even if they're mostly draws.

The head-to-head makes for grim reading if you're a Stags fan - Plymouth have won seven of the nine meetings between these two. But that was then and this is now.

When you look at the goals, both teams tend to find the net. Mansfield have seen both teams score in 70% of their recent games, while Plymouth are at 60%. Neither side is exactly keeping clean sheets for fun - Mansfield have just one in their last ten, Plymouth only two.

The way I see it, Plymouth's attacking firepower against Mansfield's draw-happy home form makes for an interesting matchup. The Stags are solid enough at home without being spectacular, while Plymouth can score goals but have been a bit leaky at the back.

Given both teams' recent scoring records and defensive vulnerabilities, I'm leaning towards both teams getting on the scoresheet. It's been the pattern in most of their recent games, and at 1.70, it looks about right for a Tuesday night in League One.

Match time
Recommended Bet
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE YES
Odds
1.70
+EV
+10.5%
Estimated Chance65%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN