AC Milan vs AS Roma Prediction

Milan vs Roma: Both Teams to Score?

Preview

Right then, let's have a proper look at this top-of-the-table clash between Milan and Roma! Both sides are flying this season, sitting pretty in the top four, and this could be an absolute cracker.

Milan have been solid at home, winning two-thirds of their games at their own patch and banging in 1.83 goals per game there. They've had some decent results lately too - beating Napoli 2-1 and Fiorentina 2-1 shows they can handle the big boys. But they've also had a couple of draws against Atalanta (1-1) and surprisingly Pisa (2-2), so they're not completely invincible.

Now Roma are interesting beans - they've got a perfect away record recently! Won their last four away games on the spin, scoring 1.5 goals per game on their travels while only letting in 0.5. That's proper impressive stuff. They just beat Parma 2-1 and Sassuolo 1-0 away from home, so they know how to get it done on the road.

Here's where it gets spicy though - when these two meet, goals usually follow! Out of their last eight meetings, both teams have scored in SEVEN of them! And six out of eight have gone over 2.5 goals. Last time they met, Roma won 3-1, and before that Milan won 3-1. It's been proper end-to-end stuff when they face off.

Both teams are scoring regularly - Milan averaging 1.7 goals per game overall, Roma 1.1. Both like to have a go too, averaging around 15 shots per game each. Neither side is exactly defensive-minded, and with both pushing for those European spots, I can't see either sitting back.

The stats suggest both teams should find the net here, and the head-to-head record backs that up nicely. Both teams have scored in 87.5% of their recent meetings - that's not just a coincidence, is it?

Key Points:

  • Both teams sit in top 4 with excellent form
  • Roma have perfect away record (4 wins in last 4 away)
  • Head-to-head shows both teams score in 7/8 meetings
  • 6/8 recent meetings went over 2.5 goals
  • Milan scoring 1.83 goals per game at home
  • Roma scoring 1.5 goals per game away from home

Given both teams' attacking form and that brilliant head-to-head record for goals, I'm fancying both teams to get on the scoresheet here. Both sides have too much quality going forward to keep a clean sheet, and the history suggests we're in for another goal-fest.

Match time
Recommended Bet
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE YES
Odds
1.91
+EV
+10.8%
Estimated Chance58%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN