AC Milan vs Lazio Prediction

Milan's Home Fortress vs Lazio's Travel Woes

Preview

Right then, let's have a proper gander at this Serie A showdown between AC Milan and Lazio. The Rossoneri are sitting pretty in 2nd place, just two points off the top, and they've been proper solid at home this season. Unbeaten in their last 10 games with 6 wins and 4 draws - that's the kind of form that gets you noticed, ain't it?

Milan have been grinding out results lately. They just went to Inter and came away with a 1-0 win, which is no mean feat considering Inter's been banging in goals for fun. Before that, they had a bit of a scare against Parma (drawing 2-2) and Atalanta (1-1), but they still managed to get something from those games. At home, they've been particularly tasty - winning 80% of their last 5 home games and scoring 2 goals per game on their own patch.

Lazio, on the other hand, are having a decent enough season sitting in 8th, but their away form is a bit worrying, isn't it? They've only managed 0.75 goals per game on their travels, which is hardly going to scare anyone. They did keep a clean sheet against Lecce (2-0 win) in their last game, but before that, they got stuffed 2-0 by Inter and could only manage a 0-0 draw with Pisa.

The head-to-head tells a clear story - Milan have won 5 out of 8 meetings, and at home, they've won 3 out of 4 against Lazio. Last time they met, Milan came out on top 2-1.

Both teams are solid defensively - Milan have kept 50% clean sheets in their last 10, while Lazio have been even better with 70%. But when you look at the attacking numbers, Milan are averaging 2 goals at home while Lazio are struggling to hit the back of the net away from home.

This has got low-scoring written all over it, doesn't it? Milan are solid at the back, Lazio don't travel well, and both teams seem to prefer keeping it tight rather than going gung-ho.

Match time
Recommended Bet
UNDER 2 5
Odds
2.00
+EV
+10.0%
Estimated Chance55%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN