AC Milan vs Pisa Prediction

Milan to feast on bottom-feeders Pisa

Preview

Ag man, this looks like a proper braai where one team brought the meat and the other brought... well, nothing! AC Milan are sitting pretty at the top of Serie A with 16 points from 7 games, while Pisa are rock bottom with just 3 points and ZERO wins this season. That's not just bad, that's kak bad!

Milan have been firing at home with an 83.33% win rate, scoring 1.83 goals per game and keeping it tight at the back with only 0.67 conceded. They've been taking down some proper teams too - beating Napoli 2-1, smashing Udinese 3-0, and grinding out a 1-0 win against Bologna. Their only slip-up was that opening day 1-2 loss to Cremonese, but they've been on a roll since then.

Pisa? Ja ne... they're struggling to even look like a Serie A team. Zero wins in 10 games, scoring a pathetic 0.5 goals per game, and they haven't won a single away match. Their recent results tell the story - 0-0 draws against Verona and Fiorentina, and a humiliating 0-4 thrashing by Bologna. They can't score, can't win, and look completely lost.

The stats don't lie either. Milan are averaging double the shots of Pisa (16.22 vs 8.22), have much better possession (55.8% vs 41.9%), and their shot accuracy is nearly double Pisa's (34.2% vs 19.1%). It's like watching professionals play against a bunch of guys who'd rather be having a beer.

With Milan's solid defense keeping 6 clean sheets in 10 games and Pisa's attack being more useless than a vegetarian at a braai, I'm backing against both teams finding the net here.

Key Points:

  • AC Milan top of Serie A vs Pisa dead last
  • Milan have 83.33% home win rate, Pisa have 0% away win rate
  • Pisa have scored only 5 goals in 10 games (0.5 per game)
  • Milan have kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 games
  • Pisa haven't won a single match all season
  • Milan averaging double the shots and much better possession stats

This one's as straightforward as they come - Milan should win comfortably, and Pisa probably won't score. BTTS No looks like the smart play here.

Match time
Recommended Bet
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE NO
Odds
1.67
+EV
+8.6%
Estimated Chance65%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN