Accrington ST vs Tranmere Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this relegation six-pointer between two teams who've been struggling more than a one-legged man in an arse-kicking contest. Accrington are propping up the entire league with just 12 points, while Tranmere aren't much better off in 18th spot with 15 points. Both sides are desperate for a win here, and when that happens, you often get proper end-to-end stuff.

Accrington have been proper Jekyll and Hyde recently. One minute they're smashing second-place Swindon Town 4-0 at home - a result that had everyone scratching their heads - the next they're losing 2-1 to Fleetwood. They've only managed 3 wins in their last 10 games, which is relegation form, make no mistake. At home, they're scoring 1.2 per game but letting in 1.2 as well. Not exactly fortress material, is it?

Tranmere, on the other hand, have been drawing for fun. Five draws in their last 10 tells you they're hard to beat but can't quite get over the line. They did show what they can do with that 4-1 hammering of Bristol Rovers away from home, and they had a proper thriller with Bromley, finishing 3-3. Here's the stat that catches my eye though - away from home, they're scoring 2.4 goals per game BUT also conceding 2.4 per game. It's like they're playing basketball out there!

The head-to-head record shows Tranmere have historically had the wood over Accrington (5 wins to 2), but their last meeting was that 3-3 cracker, suggesting these games can be proper open affairs.

Both teams need the points, both have leaky defences, and Tranmere especially seem to leave the back door wide open on their travels. Accrington showed against Swindon they can score when they put their minds to it, and with both teams having nothing to lose, I'm expecting goals.

Key Points:

• Accrington rock bottom with 12 points, Tranmere just above them with 15

• Accrington smashed 2nd-place Swindon 4-0 but lost their last game 2-1

• Tranmere draw for fun (5 in last 10) but scored 4 away at Bristol Rovers

• Tranmere average 2.4 goals scored AND conceded away from home

• Last H2H meeting ended 3-3

• Both teams desperate for points in relegation battle

Given Tranmere's away record of both scoring and conceding for fun, and Accrington's recent showing they can put the ball in the net, I'm backing both teams to get on the scoresheet. It's not massive odds at 1.73, but it feels like the most likely outcome in what should be a proper open game between two struggling sides.