Derby vs Leicester Prediction

Oh, what a delightful matchup we have here! While the bookmakers might be giving Leicester the slight nod, my underdog senses are tingling with excitement for Derby! Let me tell you why these little puppies have real bite.

Looking at recent form, Derby has been absolutely splendid with 6 wins from their last 10 games, collecting a handsome 1.90 points per game. They've been particularly feisty at home, winning 60% of their recent home matches. Just look at some of their impressive results - they beat Hull City 2-1 when Hull were flying high with 1.80 points per game, and they shut out QPR 1-0 when QPR were averaging 1.70 points per game. That's the kind of performance that makes an underdog tipster's heart sing!

Now, Leicester... oh dear. Their recent form has been rather concerning with only 3 wins in 10 games and a mere 1.10 points per game. Most worryingly for their fans, they haven't kept a single clean sheet in their last 10 matches! That's right - zero clean sheets. They've been leaking goals like a sieve, conceding 1.60 per game. Recent results like a 0-3 thumping by Southampton and a 0-2 loss to Blackburn show they're really struggling.

The head-to-head record might favor Leicester historically, but form trumps history in my book! Derby are at home where they've been strong, while Leicester's away form has been patchy at best. Derby's defense has been solid too, keeping 2 clean sheets in their last 10 and conceding only 1.10 per game.

With Derby priced at 2.70 despite having better form, home advantage, and facing a defensively fragile Leicester side, I see wonderful value here. Sometimes the market overlooks the current momentum, and that's where we underdog lovers find our treasures!