Empoli vs Palermo Prediction

Palermo arrive at Empoli's ground carrying the momentum of four wins from their last five matches, scoring 14 goals along the way. Their latest 10 games across all venues show 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with an average of 2.0 goals per game. The head-to-head in the last 12 months tells a similar story: Palermo won both recent meetings, including the 7 December 2025 visit to Empoli's ground, which ended 1–3.

Empoli, by contrast, have lost their last two matches, conceding 3 goals and scoring just 1. Their last five games yield 2 wins and 3 losses, with an average of 0.8 goals scored per game. Red cards were observed in two of those five matches — one against Arezzo in minute 45 and one against Cremonese in minute 59 — adding a layer of inconsistency to an already fragile run.

The counter-argument, however, is Empoli's home record. Over 20 home games spanning 11 months, Empoli have drawn 10 times, won 6 and lost 4, averaging 1.4 points per game. Palermo's away record over 20 games is 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses at 1.3 points per game. Both sides have a high propensity to draw on their respective grounds, which tempers the raw form gap. Empoli's home record also shows they concede 0.95 per game, the lower figure of the two, and they have kept 6 clean sheets in those 20 home matches.

The xG data, though limited, supports Palermo's attacking output: 1.6 xG per game in their two available matches compared to Empoli's 0.81 per game across three. Palermo's defensive xG against is 1.11 per game, compared to Empoli's 0.94.

Key Points:

• Palermo won both recent head-to-head meetings, including the 7 December 2025 game at Empoli's ground (1–3)

• Empoli have lost their last two matches and scored only 1 goal in that span

• Empoli's 20-game home record features 10 draws; Palermo's 20-game away record features 8 draws

• Palermo's last 5 matches: 4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses, 14 goals scored

• Empoli's last 5 matches: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses, 4 goals scored

No Bet. The form gap favours Palermo, but the high draw rates on both sides' respective grounds and the absence of a clear, dominant edge in the venue records mean no outcome clears the bar for a confident recommendation.