Exeter City vs AFC Wimbledon Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this League One clash down at Exeter. On paper, you'd think AFC Wimbledon have the edge sitting pretty in 9th while Exeter are languishing in 20th, but football's never that simple, is it?

Exeter have been a bit of a Jekyll and Hyde side lately. They've had some proper hammerings - that 4-0 stuffing at Luton won't have been pleasant - but they can also turn it on when they want. That 4-0 demolition of Wycombe in the FA Cup shows what they're capable of, especially at home where they've been banging in 2.20 goals per game. Their home form's actually been decent too, winning 60% of their last five on their own patch.

Now Wimbledon, they're the interesting ones. Sitting mid-table looking comfortable, but their recent form's been a bit hit and miss. Then suddenly they go and smash Cardiff 5-1 away from home - and Cardiff are top of the league! That's the sort of result that makes you sit up and take notice. Their away form is actually brilliant - 60% win rate in their last five travels - but here's the thing: they score loads (2.40 per game away) but they also leak goals for fun (2.20 conceded per game away).

When you look at the numbers, Wimbledon's away games are averaging 4.6 goals per match. That's basically goal-fest territory every time they travel. Exeter at home aren't exactly defensive maestros either, despite that decent 0.80 goals conceded average - they've kept clean sheets in half their games but have also shipped four in a couple of recent matches.

The head-to-head shows Exeter have historically dominated Wimbledon at home, but those matches were years ago, so I wouldn't put too much stock in that.

What I'm seeing here is a match that's got goals written all over it. Wimbledon's away games are end-to-end affairs, and Exeter at home know how to find the net. Both teams have shown they can score, and both have shown they can concede. The stats suggest we're in for an entertaining night with plenty of goalmouth action.

Sometimes the simplest bet is the best one, and all signs point to both teams getting on the scoresheet here.