Ipswich vs Charlton Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Championship clash between Ipswich and Charlton. The lads from Portman Road are sitting 12th with 13 points from 9 games, while Charlton are just above them in 9th with 15 points from 10 matches. But don't let that table position fool you - this one's all about home advantage.

Ipswich have been proper decent at home this season, winning 60% of their matches on their own patch and banging in 2.6 goals per game. They've put three past Norwich and two past Portsmouth recently, and even had a cracking 5-0 win over Sheffield United. Their home form is the real deal, mate.

Charlton, on the other hand, have been shocking on their travels. Just one win in six away games, scoring a measly 0.67 goals per game away from home. They've lost to Preston and Cambridge United on the road recently, and even their wins have been tight affairs.

The head-to-head tells a similar story - Ipswich have won 3 of their 5 home meetings against Charlton. And while that 6-0 thrashing was a while back, it shows what can happen when these two meet on Ipswich's patch.

Looking at the stats, Ipswich are averaging 15.8 shots per game with 4.9 on target, while Charlton are only managing 12.8 shots with 3.8 on target. The Tractor Boys are also seeing more of the ball (57.7% vs 43.9%) and are much more accurate in front of goal (30.4% vs 27.9%).

Both teams have been conceding though - Ipswich let in 1.1 per game, Charlton 1.2. And with Ipswich scoring for fun at home while Charlton do manage to nick the odd goal away from home, both teams getting on the scoresheet looks pretty likely.

The bookies have Ipswich as clear favorites at 1.50, which makes sense given their home form. But the real value might be in both teams scoring at 2.00 - Ipswich's home games have seen both teams score 70% of the time, and Charlton's away games have seen both teams score 50% of the time.

Key Points:

• Ipswich are strong at home: 60% win rate, 2.6 goals per game

• Charlton struggle away: 16.67% win rate, 0.67 goals per game

• Both teams have decent BTTS records (70% and 50% respectively)

• Ipswich dominate the head-to-head at home (3-1-1 record)

• Goal expectancy suggests 2.05 goals for Ipswich, 0.83 for Charlton

The Verdict: Ipswich should win this, but both teams to score offers better value at 2.00. Ipswich will likely score a couple at home, while Charlton might just nick one despite their poor away form.