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Iwaki's home numbers tell a clear story. Across 20 home games spanning the last 12 months, the hosts have won 9, drawn 5 and lost 6, averaging 1.6 points per game. They score 1.15 per game and concede just 0.9, keeping a clean sheet in 8 of those 20 fixtures. That is a solid home base in the J2, and it is the first thing you look at when the ball rolls at their ground.
Ventforet Kofu's away record, by contrast, is a struggle. Over 20 away games, they have won 7, drawn 3 and lost 10, picking up 1.2 points per game. They manage just 0.75 goals per game on the road and concede 1.4, failing to score in 9 of those 20 trips. The gap between Iwaki's home output and Kofu's away output is the heart of this fixture: Iwaki score 1.15 per home game while Kofu score 0.75 per away game, and Iwaki concede 0.9 while Kofu concede 1.4. When you stack those figures side by side, the home side has the edge on every meaningful measure.
The head-to-head adds texture. In the two recent meetings within the last 12 months, both games finished 0–1 — Kofu won at Iwaki's ground on 9 May, and Iwaki won at Kofu's ground on 14 March. The older meetings are historical record only, but they show Kofu have taken 4 of the last 8 overall, with Iwaki winning 1 and 3 draws. The recent form, though, points the other way.
Iwaki's last five matches are mixed: a 1–0 home win over Blaublitz Akita on 11 October, a 0–4 defeat to Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the Emperor Cup on 7 October, a 1–2 loss at Consadole Sapporo on 4 October, a 0–2 home loss to Vegalta Sendai on 26 September, and a 3–1 away win at Sagan Tosu on 19 September. Two wins, three losses. Their current run is a single win.
Kofu's last five are worse. A 2–1 home win over Tochigi City on 10 October, a 1–2 home loss to Kataller Toyama on 3 October (with a red card in the 84th minute), a 1–5 away defeat to Omiya Ardija on 26 September, a 1–3 away loss to Kashima in the Emperor Cup on 23 September, and a 0–1 home loss to Tokushima Vortis on 19 September. One win, four losses, 12 goals conceded. Their current run is also a single win.
The counter-argument is that Iwaki are not in great form — three losses in five games, including one at home — and that Kofu did pick up a win in their most recent outing. The head-to-head is split in the recent window, and Iwaki's home record spans 12 months, meaning some of those 20 games are older and dilute the picture. Kofu's 10-game record across all venues (4W 0D 6L) is not as bad as their last five suggests, and they have scored in 7 of those 10.
Key Points:
- Iwaki home record: 9W 5D 6L in 20 games, 1.15 goals scored per game, 0.9 conceded per game
- Kofu away record: 7W 3D 10L in 20 games, 0.75 goals scored per game, 1.4 conceded per game
- Recent head-to-head: both meetings finished 0–1, one win each
- Iwaki last 5: 2W 3L; Kofu last 5: 1W 4L, 12 conceded
- Kofu failed to score in 9 of their last 20 away games
The football points firmly to Iwaki, but the available prices could not be used for a recommendation. No Bet.
