Match preview
ItalySerie C - Girone A
Juventus U23 and Renate kick off at Juventus U23's ground on 19 October in Serie C Girone A, and I'm rooting for the stalemate. Both of these little puppies are struggling to find a win, and the numbers say a draw is the most likely outcome.
Let's start with the form. Juventus U23 have won just once in their last 10 matches (1W 5D 4L), and in the last five they've managed two draws and three losses, scoring 4 goals and conceding 9. Their most recent game was a 0–0 draw with Lumezzane at home, and before that they lost 3–5 to Albinoleffe at home and 0–2 to Cittadella away. Renate's story is almost identical: zero wins in their last 10 (0W 4D 6L), with three draws and two losses in the last five. They're on a run of two consecutive draws, and their last home game ended 0–1 against Treviso.
The head-to-head is a lovely little story. The only meeting within the last 12 months — at Renate's ground in October 2025 — finished 1–1. Going further back, the fixture has produced three draws across 10 meetings, and both older meetings at Juventus U23's ground ended 1–1. The full aggregate spans six years, so the head-to-head is dated, but the pattern of low-scoring draws is consistent and comforting.
Now the venue records. Over 20 home games, Juventus U23 have drawn 7 times and won 9. Over 20 away games, Renate have drawn 9 times and won 6. Both teams are drawing at a high rate in their respective grounds. In the last 10 games across all venues, both sides score just 0.9 goals per game, and both have failed to score in a significant share of those matches — 5 out of 10 for Juventus U23, 3 out of 10 for Renate.
The counter-argument is fair: Renate's away record shows they score 1.6 per game over 20 away fixtures and fail to score in only 1 of those 20, which means they can find the net even on the road. Juventus U23's home record is also solid — 9 wins, 1.25 goals scored per game, and 10 clean sheets in 20 home games. But those 20-game home figures stretch back to October 2025, and their last five games tell a very different story: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses.
Key Points:
The draw at 3.37 is the pick. With both teams winless in their last five, the recent head-to-head a 1–1, and both grounds producing a high volume of draws, the stalemate is the most supported outcome.