Match preview
ItalySerie C - Girone A
Look, I'm a man who enjoys his braai, his cold beer, and a good football match, and I tell you this one's got the smell of a 1-1 about it. Both Juventus U23 and Renate have gone winless in their last five games, and that is not a coincidence โ it is a pattern.
Juventus U23 have managed just two draws and three losses in their last five, scoring only 4 goals and conceding 9. Their last game at home was a 0-0 with Lumezzane on 13 October, and before that they lost 3-5 to Albinoleffe at their own ground. The defence is leaking, but the scoring is equally poor โ they failed to score in three of those five. Renate, meanwhile, have drawn three and lost two in their last five, also managing just 4 goals. Their last two games have been draws: 2-2 at home to Giana Erminio and 1-1 away at Ospitaletto. Two teams that cannot find a way to win, walking into the same fixture. Now that's a recipe for a shared slice of pie, if you will.
Now here is the thing that really gets me: the head-to-head. The only meeting within the last 12 months was a 1-1 draw at Renate's ground in October 2025. And if you look at the older meetings at Juventus U23's ground โ two of them โ both finished 1-1. The full head-to-head spans six years with 10 meetings, and three of those ten were draws. These two teams have a habit of cancelling each other out.
The matchup numbers back it up. Over 20 home games, Juventus U23 have drawn 7 times, and over 20 away games, Renate have drawn 9. In their latest 10 games across all venues, Juventus U23 have drawn 5 and Renate have drawn 4. That is 9 draws out of 20 combined games. These two sides are in a phase where the win just will not come.
The counter-argument is that Juventus U23's home record over 20 games is 9 wins, 7 draws, 4 losses โ they do win at home, and their home defence concedes just 1.05 per game with 10 clean sheets in 20. Renate's away record is 6 wins, 9 draws, 5 losses, and they score 1.6 per game on the road. So there is a case that one of them breaks the pattern and grabs the three points. But the current form โ zero wins in five for both sides, and both teams scoring under a goal a game โ is hard to ignore. You can look at a 20-game record and say, "they will bounce back," but when the last five say otherwise, you trust the last five.
Key Points:
My pick: the draw.