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Right, so Le Havre are hosting Auxerre on 18 October in Ligue 1, and the form books are telling two very different stories here, bra.
Le Havre have been struggling. They've won just one of their last five matches — that 6-1 friendly against Boulogne on 2 October — and the rest has been 1 draw and 3 losses. The 0-1 defeat at Lille on 10 October came with a red card in the 61st minute, and before that they were drawn 0-0 at home to Angers and lost 1-2 to Brest. Their home record over 20 games is 5W 8D 7L, 1.15 points per game, and they've conceded 1.1 per game at home. The xG data on their three games with coverage shows 0.87 per game for — that's a thin attack, mate.
Auxerre, on the other hand, have been cooking. Four wins in their last ten, and they've scored in every single one of those ten games. The 4-3 thriller against Clermont on 2 October and the 2-1 win over Brest on 20 September showed some real fire. But they did get hammered 1-4 at Rennes on 11 October, and their away record over 20 games is 3W 7D 10L with 1.8 goals conceded per game. Their xG against in the three games with data is 2.88 per game — that defence is leaking like a bucket at a braai.
Now, the head-to-head at Le Havre's ground in the last 12 months was a 1-1 draw back in April 2026. The older meetings at this venue are just historical record. Across 24 meetings going back 13 years, Le Havre have won 14, drawn 5, and lost 5, with both teams scoring in 15 of those 24.
The matchup table shows Le Havre's home record is the stronger one — 5W 8D 7L at 1.15 ppg versus Auxerre's 3W 7D 10L at 0.8 ppg away. Le Havre concede 1.1 per game at home; Auxerre concede 1.8 per game away. But Auxerre's recent form is clearly the better story: 1.4 points per game over their last ten compared to Le Havre's 0.8.
On goals, both teams' home/away records show 11 of 20 games with both teams scoring. Le Havre's last five had over 2.5 in 3 of 5, Auxerre's last five had over 2.5 in 4 of 5. The xG data paints a picture of open games, especially on the Auxerre side, but Le Havre's 0.87 xG per game for is a real concern.
Key Points:
- Le Havre have won just 1 of their last 5 matches and failed to score in 2 of those 5
- Auxerre have scored in all 10 of their recent matches but lost 1-4 at Rennes on 11 October
- The head-to-head at Le Havre's ground in the last 12 months was a 1-1 draw
- Le Havre's home record (5W 8D 7L, 1.15 ppg) is stronger than Auxerre's away record (3W 7D 10L, 0.8 ppg)
- Both teams' home/away records show 11 of 20 games with both teams scoring
The football doesn't give me a clear edge on any outcome. Le Havre's home record is the stronger one, but their recent form is poor and their attacking output is thin. Auxerre's recent form is clearly better, but their away record is weak and their defence is leaking. The H2H at this venue was a 1-1 draw. None of the available prices offer a value I can back with confidence. No Bet.
