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There's something about a Superettan fixture that makes you lean in a little closer, and this one between Ljungskile SK and IK brage on 17 October is no exception. Two clubs both searching for that spark that turns a scrappy afternoon into something special.
Let's start with the home side. Ljungskile SK have been a force at home over the last 20 games, picking up 12 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses, averaging 1.85 points per game. They score 1.85 goals per home outing and concede just 1.3, which paints a picture of a side that can be dangerous in front of their own fans. Their last home game, though, was a 0–2 defeat to Falkenbergs FF on 13 September, and before that they had a 2–1 win over Norrby IF on 9 September. In their last five matches across all grounds, they've managed 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 9. They haven't kept a clean sheet in any of those five, and they've failed to score in only one.
Now for IK brage, the visitors. Their last five games tell a slightly different story: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 7 goals scored and 6 conceded. That 2–0 win over Helsingborg on 11 October was a nice lift, and they've found the net in every one of their last five matches. Their away record over 20 games is less flattering, though — 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses, averaging 1.2 points per game, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.75 per away outing.
The head-to-head is thin on recent evidence. The only meeting within the last 12 months was a 2–2 draw at IK brage's ground on 9 June 2026. Before that, the fixture goes back to 2020, with Ljungskile winning 1–0 away and IK brage winning 3–1 at Ljungskile's ground. Those older results are historical and don't really tell us much about where these teams are now.
The strongest case for the visitors is their recent scoring consistency — they've found the net in all five of their last matches, and that 2–0 win over Helsingborg showed they can be clinical. Ljungskile, meanwhile, have conceded 9 goals in their last five games, which is a lot of holes to plug on a given afternoon.
The counter-argument, though, is hard to ignore. Ljungskile at home are averaging nearly two points per game over 20 fixtures, and their home scoring record of 1.85 per game is the best figure in this matchup. IK brage's away record of 7 wins in 20 is a struggle, and the recent head-to-head was a goal-fest draw. The home side's defensive record at home, conceding 1.3 per game, is the most telling number in the table.
As a tipster who loves a little puppy with a big heart, I'd love to find value on IK brage here. The 3.41 price on an away win looks tempting, but the numbers don't quite back it up. Ljungskile's home record is too strong, and the price on IK brage to win feels about right given the evidence. I can't honestly rate the visitors' chance above what the market is already pricing in, and that means there's no underdog value to chase here. Sometimes the little guy just isn't the one to back, and that's okay.
Key Points:
- Ljungskile SK's home record: 12W 1D 7L in 20 games, 1.85 points per game
- IK brage's away record: 7W 3D 10L in 20 games, 1.2 points per game
- Recent head-to-head: 2–2 draw at IK brage's ground on 9 June 2026
- IK brage have scored in all 5 recent matches; Ljungskile have conceded 9 in 5
- Ljungskile's home scoring (1.85 per game) outpaces IK brage's away scoring (1.3 per game)
No Bet.




