Ljungskile SK host IK brage in the Superettan on 17 October, and the venue record tells a clear story. Across 20 home games, Ljungskile have won 12, drawn 1 and lost 7, scoring 1.85 per game and conceding 1.3. IK brage, by contrast, have won just 7 of their 20 away games, drawn 3 and lost 10, scoring 1.3 per game away and conceding 1.75. The home side's record at this ground is the single most telling figure in this fixture, and it points to a side that is comfortable and productive in front of their own supporters.
However, the picture gets murkier when you look at the last five matches. Ljungskile have won once, drawn twice and lost twice in that span, including a 0–2 defeat to Falkenbergs FF at home on 13 September and a 2–3 loss at GIF Sundsvall on 20 September. Their most recent outing was a 1–1 draw at Orebro SK on 11 October. IK brage's last five is equally mixed: a 2–0 home win over Helsingborg on 11 October, a 1–1 friendly draw with Degerfors IF on 3 October, a 2–3 away loss to Varbergs BoIS FC on 19 September, and two 1–1 draws on 15 September at home and 10 September away. Neither side is carrying a run of form into this one, and the most recent head-to-head meeting on 9 June at IK brage's ground ended 2–2.
The head-to-head record is thin. There has been only one meeting within the last 12 months, that 2–2 draw, and the two older meetings from 2020 are historical record rather than a guide to current form. At Ljungskile's ground specifically, the only previous meeting was in 2020, when IK brage won 3–1. That is dated and does not carry much weight against the 20-game home and away records.
One area where the numbers do lean in a direction is goals. Ljungskile have had over 2.5 goals in 12 of their 20 home games, and IK brage have had over 2.5 in 13 of their 20 away games. Both teams also scored in 4 of their last 5 matches, and the head-to-head has seen both sides find the net in 2 of 3 meetings. That said, the last 10 games for both clubs show under 2.5 in 6 of 10, which tempers the longer-term picture.
The counter-argument to a Ljungskile home win is straightforward: their recent form is inconsistent, they have not won in their last four matches, and the only recent meeting between these two sides was a draw. IK brage's 2–0 win over Helsingborg six days ago shows they are capable of a clean, controlled performance, and their away record, while poor over 20 games, does include 7 wins. The 2–2 scoreline in the most recent meeting suggests this is a tight contest rather than a one-sided affair.
Key Points:
- Ljungskile's home record: 12 wins, 1 draw, 7 losses in 20 games, scoring 1.85 per game
- IK brage's away record: 7 wins, 3 draws, 10 losses in 20 games, conceding 1.75 per game
- Most recent head-to-head: 2–2 draw at IK brage's ground on 9 June 2026
- Both teams scored in 4 of their last 5 matches
- Ljungskile have not won in their last four matches; IK brage's last five includes a friendly
On balance, the home record favours Ljungskile, but the recent form of both sides is too mixed to call this a certainty. The available prices do not offer a stake I can back with the confidence this fixture demands. No Bet.
