Mallorca vs Las Palmas Prediction

Mallorca vs Las Palmas: A Home Edge That Isn't Quite Certain

Preview

Mallorca's home record in the Segunda División is the strongest single piece of evidence in this fixture: 13 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses across 20 home games, with 2.1 goals scored per game and 0.85 conceded. Las Palmas, on the other hand, have won only 8 of their 20 away games, conceded 1.7 per game and kept just 3 clean sheets on the road. The matchup table makes the home advantage clear.

But the last five games complicate the picture. Mallorca have scored just 3 goals in their most recent five matches, failing to score in three of them, and their last home game ended in a 0–1 defeat to Almeria on 27 September. Las Palmas have won only once in five, conceding 7 goals along the way. Both sides are in a transitional phase, and the head-to-head offers no current-form guidance: the most recent meeting between these two clubs was in February 2025, and all five listed meetings are historical record only.

The strongest counter-argument to a Mallorca win is their recent scoring drought. Three of their last five games ended with Mallorca on the scoresheet at zero, and the 0–0 draws at Girona and Eldense suggest a side that can go long stretches without finding the net. Las Palmas, despite their poor away record, did score in 4 of their last 5 games and kept the ball moving in a 2–2 draw with Valladolid on 4 October. They are not a team that simply folds on the road.

Key Points:

  • Mallorca's 20-game home record (13W 3D 4L, 2.1 goals per game) is the single strongest piece of evidence in this fixture.
  • Las Palmas' away record (8W 4D 8L, 1.7 conceded per game) makes them vulnerable on the road.
  • Mallorca's last five games produced only 3 goals and 3 scoreless efforts, raising questions about their current attacking output.
  • The head-to-head is entirely historical, with no meetings within the last 12 months, so current form must carry the weight.
  • Both teams' recent form features a high number of low-scoring results, but the broader records point in different directions.

The numbers favour Mallorca at home, but the recent form of both sides is too flat to call this a certainty. If it's not certain, it's not happening. No Bet.

Match time
Recommended Bet
NO BET
Odds
0.00
+EV
0.0%
Estimated Chance0%
Stake & Profit
Stake:0.00•Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN