Mazatlán vs Necaxa Prediction
Bottom-Of-The-Table Bash: Goals On The Cards
Preview
Right then, let's fire up the braai and look at this proper bottom-of-the-table clash! Both these sides are struggling more than I do on a Monday morning without my beer, but that's exactly where we find value.
Mazatlán are sitting 16th with just 13 points, and honestly, their defense is more leaky than my old cooler box. They haven't kept a single clean sheet in their last 10 matches - that's shocking stuff! At home, they're averaging 1.67 goals scored but conceding 2.00 per game. They did manage draws against Club America (2-2) and Santos Laguna (2-2) recently, showing they can score at home.
Necaxa aren't much better off in 15th place with 16 points. Their away form is particularly dodgy - they're shipping 3.40 goals per game on the road! But here's the thing: they can definitely score. They've put 4 past Santos Laguna and 4 past Atletico San Luis in their last two games. Like Mazatlán, they've only managed 1 clean sheet in 10 matches.
When these two have met historically, it's usually been good viewing for us goal lovers. 6 out of 9 meetings have gone over 2.5 goals, and both teams have scored in 5 of those 9 matches.
The stats are screaming goals here. Both teams have a 70% both teams to score rate in recent games, and neither can defend to save their lives. Mazatlán are decent enough going forward at home, and Necaxa are scoring freely even though they concede plenty away from home.
This has all the makings of a proper goal fest, and I'm backing both teams to find the net. It's like watching two bokkies fight over the last piece of boerewors - messy, but entertaining!