Mazatlán vs Necaxa Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this basement battle in Liga MX! Mazatlán (16th) host Necaxa (15th) in what could be an absolute cracker for us neutral fans - and potentially for our betting slips too.

Mazatlán have been proper struggling lately, mind. Just one win in their last ten games and sitting pretty near the foot of the table. But here's the thing - at home, they're not completely useless. They've had some right entertaining draws recently, 2-2 with Club America and 2-2 with Santos Laguna, plus they actually beat San Luis 2-1. They're scoring at home (1.67 per game) but their defence is about as solid as a chocolate teapot - letting in 2.00 goals per game on their own patch.

Necaxa, meanwhile, have been involved in some absolute barnstormers. Their recent games read like a tennis score: 4-1 win against Santos, 4-3 thriller at San Luis, and a 5-3 loss to Tigres. They're scoring for fun away from home (2.00 per game) but their defence on the road is absolutely shambolic - shipping 3.40 goals per game! That's not a typo, folks.

When these two have met before, it's usually been decent value for us goal lovers. Out of 9 meetings, 6 have gone over 2.5 goals. Mazatlán have actually won 2 of the 5 times they've hosted Necaxa, so they're not complete pushovers at home.

The stats are screaming goals at me here. Both teams have seen both teams score in 70% of their recent matches. Mazatlán haven't kept a clean sheet in their last 10 games, while Necaxa have managed just one. Neither side knows how to defend, but both know where the goal is.

This has all the makings of a proper end-to-end affair between two teams with nothing to lose and leaky defences. Perfect for us punters who like a bit of goal action!