Motherwell vs Celtic Prediction

Motherwell vs Celtic: Two Slumping Sides Meet in the Premiership

Preview

Look, I'll be honest with you — this one's got me scratching my head. Both Motherwell and Celtic are dragging their feet into this Premiership clash, and that's not a good look for either side.

Celtic have lost their last three — 0–1 at home to Rangers, 1–3 to Ferencvarosi TC in the Europa League, and 0–3 at Rangers in the League Cup. One goal scored, seven conceded. Motherwell's run is just as ugly: 1–2 at Dundee, 0–4 at home to Aberdeen, 0–1 at Rangers. Same aggregate: one goal, seven conceded. Two teams that can't find the back of the net, and that changes how you look at this fixture.

The head-to-head at Motherwell's ground in the last 12 months is split. Celtic took it 3–2 in May 2026, and Motherwell won 2–0 in December 2025. Celtic found the net in the May meeting, while Motherwell kept a clean sheet in December. The reverse fixture at Celtic's ground in March 2026 was 3–1 to Celtic. So the recent meetings at this venue have been competitive.

Here's where it gets interesting for me. Motherwell's home record over 20 games is tight on the defensive end — 13 clean sheets, 0.95 goals conceded per game, and 14 of those 20 games saw at least one team fail to score. That's a strong record. Celtic's away record over 20 games tells a different story: they've scored in 17 of 20, and 13 of those 20 had both teams finding the net. So Celtic are used to scoring away, and Motherwell are used to keeping it tight at home.

The counter-argument is real. Celtic have scored in 17 of 20 away games, and Motherwell have scored in 17 of 20 home games. The most recent meeting at this venue was 2–3, with both sides on the scoresheet. Celtic's away record shows 13 of 20 games with both teams scoring, which is a high rate and doesn't sit well with a 'no' on both teams scoring.

But I'm looking at the recent form. Both teams have failed to score in 2 of their last 5. Motherwell's home clean sheet record is 13 in 20. Celtic have only kept 5 clean sheets in 20 away games, but they've also failed to score in 3 of those 20. The combination of Motherwell's defensive solidity at home and both teams' recent scoring struggles tips me towards at least one side staying scoreless. Celtic's last 10 across all venues — 6 wins, 0 draws, 4 losses — is far stronger than Motherwell's 2 wins, 3 draws, 5 losses, but that edge doesn't guarantee goals when both sides are in this much trouble.

Key Points:

  • Both teams have lost their last 3 matches, scoring 1 and conceding 7 in each run
  • Motherwell home: 13 clean sheets in 20 games, 14 of 20 with at least one team not scoring
  • Celtic away: 17 of 20 scored, 13 of 20 with both teams scoring
  • H2H at Motherwell's ground (last 12 months): 3–2 Celtic (May 2026), 2–0 Motherwell (Dec 2025)
  • Celtic last 10: 6W 0D 4L; Motherwell last 10: 2W 3D 5L

My pick: both teams not to score.

Match time
Recommended Bet
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE NO
Odds
2.47
+EV
+11.2%
Estimated Chance45%
Stake & Profit
Stake:10.00•Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN