Newcastle vs Fulham Prediction

Newcastle to feast on Fulham's travel sickness

Preview

Right then lads, let's fire up the braai and look at this clash! Newcastle are sitting just above Fulham in the table, but there's a massive difference in how these teams perform when it comes to home and away.

Newcastle have been solid at home lately, winning 66.67% of their last 6 home games and averaging a tasty 2.00 goals per game at their place. They just smashed Benfica 3-0 in the Champions League and kept clean sheets against Nottingham Forest and Wolves at home. Their defense has been tight with a 60% clean sheet rate overall.

Fulham on the other hand? Ag man, they're shocking away from home! Zero wins in their last 4 away games, scoring only 0.75 goals per away trip while leaking 2.25 goals per game. They've lost 3-1 at Bournemouth, 3-1 at Aston Villa, and 2-0 at Chelsea recently. That's not the form of a team that's going to get a result at St James' Park.

The head-to-head shows Newcastle historically dominate this fixture (6 wins to 2), even though Fulham nicked the last meeting 2-1. But that was away and Newcastle are a different beast at home.

Newcastle average 1.70 goals per game overall and only concede 0.70, while Fulham average 1.10 scored and 1.20 conceded. The goal expectancy has Newcastle at 2.12 goals and Fulham at just 0.79 - that tells you everything you need to know!

Fulham have had more rest (7 days vs 4), but when you're playing this badly away, extra days off won't fix the fundamental problems. Newcastle should have too much firepower and home advantage here.

Match time
Recommended Bet
HOME WIN
Odds
1.60
+EV
+4.0%
Estimated Chance65%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN