Newcastle vs Fulham Prediction

Magpies Set To Soar Over Struggling Fulham

Preview

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one. Two teams sitting pretty much next to each other in the table, but tell you what, they couldn't be playing more differently right now.

Newcastle have been decent at home this season, winning two-thirds of their last six games at their own gaff. They're banging in 2 goals per game on their own patch and keeping things relatively tight at the back. They've had some proper results lately too - that 3-0 win over Benfica in the Champions League was top drawer, and they put four past Union St. Gilloise as well. Even in the league, they've looked solid at home.

Fulham though? Away from home, they're absolutely shocking. Zero wins in their last four on the road, losing three-quarters of them. They're only managing to score 0.75 goals per game when travelling, while letting in a whopping 2.25! That's like turning up to a fight with both hands tied behind your back.

Just look at their recent away form - 1-3 at Bournemouth, 1-3 at Aston Villa, 0-1 at Arsenal. They just can't keep it tight when they're not on their home turf.

The head-to-head tells a similar story. Newcastle have won 6 out of 9 meetings between these two, and they even won the last encounter 1-2 away from home. They just seem to have Fulham's number.

Now, Newcastle have had less rest than Fulham (4 days vs 7 days) and they did just play in Europe, which might take a bit out of them. But honestly, when you look at how bad Fulham are away from home, it's hard to see past a Newcastle win here.

The stats back it up too - Newcastle are averaging 2 goals at home, Fulham are conceding over 2 away. It's not rocket science, is it?

Match time
Recommended Bet
HOME WIN
Odds
1.60
+EV
+4.0%
Estimated Chance65%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN